GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Predictions

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by piscator » Thu Jun 16, 2016 7:55 pm

Forty Two wrote:
Illegal immigrants have a higher welfare benefits receipt rate than US citizens. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/on-th ... le/2571730


That article in Conservative tabloid Washington Examiner in turn sources its numbers from "Center for Immigration Studies", a Tea Party crew that specializes in bogus numbers...

Jul 22, 2014 9:16 am
A senior policy analyst from an immigration-restrictionist think tank wants to see President Barack Obama not just impeached, but publicly executed, he told a sympathetic audience last week. During a talk at a Tea Party organization in Sebring, Florida, Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) analyst Stephen Steinlight said that Obama’s supposed executive overreach couldn’t be reined in by a lawsuit and that “being hung, drawn, and quartered is probably too good for him,” Imagine 2050 first reported. He then joked that Obama’s head should be on a skewer.

Talking with members of the Highlands Tea Party, Steinlight said that Boehner’s lawsuit against Obama to faithfully execute the law would not prevent the President from taking executive action on immigration.

“There’s no court that will stop Obama from doing anything,” Steinlight said to members of the Highlands Tea Party. “And we all know, if there ever was a president that deserved to be impeached, it’s this guy. Alright? And I wouldn’t stop. I would think being hung, drawn, and quartered is probably too good for him. But you know, this man who wants to rule by the use of a pen, a telephone, let us not forget his teleprompter … the fact is that it would backfire very badly and we’ve got to be grownups and accept that we can’t have everything we want, you know, [like] his head on a skewer.”

Highland Tea Party members could be heard applauding and laughing in the background. Steinlight also alluded to the child migrant situation, saying that many of them are gang bangers and that “there are a lot more like them.”

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by L'Emmerdeur » Fri Jun 17, 2016 3:06 am

Forty Two wrote:I have now provided infinitely more evidence than you have. I await your rebuttal.
Your "infinitely more evidence" consists of one source. As piscator noted, that source would only qualify as reputable in a right wing echo chamber. Speaking of right wing, the Cato Institute, a well known right wing/libertarian think tank, took a look at the report used by The Washington Examiner as the basis for its story. They found numerous problems.

"Center for Immigration Studies Report Exaggerates Immigrant Welfare Use"

"Center for Immigration Studies Report Exaggerates Immigrant Welfare Use, Part 2"

Previously they had issued a report that contradicts assertions made by the Center for Immigration Studies: "Poor Immigrants Use Public Benefits at a Lower Rate than Poor Native-Born Citizens"
Low-income immigrants use public benefits like Medicaid or the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, formerly the Food Stamp Program) at a lower rate than low-income native-born citizens.1 Many immigrants are ineligible for public benefits because of their immigration status. Nonetheless, some claim that immigrants use more public benefits than the native born, creating a serious and unfair burden for citizens.2 This analysis provides updated analysis of immigrant and native-born utilization of Medicaid, SNAP, cash assistance (Temporary Assistance for Needy Families and similar programs), and the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program based on the most recent data from the Census Bureau’s March 2012 Current Population Survey (CPS).

Low-income (family income below 200% of poverty line) non-citizen children and adults utilize Medicaid, SNAP, cash assistance, and SSI at a generally lower rate than comparable low-income native-born citizen children and adults, and the average value of public benefits received per person is generally lower for non-citizens than for natives. Because of the lower benefit utilization rates and the lower average benefit value for low-income non-citizen immigrants, the cost of public benefits to non citizens is substantially less than the cost of equivalent benefits to the native-born.
Though you made an assertion that no social security number is required to receive these benefits, unsurprisingly you provided no support, once again.

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Scot Dutchy » Fri Jun 17, 2016 7:56 am

He has a big thumb to suck on.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Fri Jun 17, 2016 5:18 pm

L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:I have now provided infinitely more evidence than you have. I await your rebuttal.
Your "infinitely more evidence" consists of one source.

As piscator noted, that source would only qualify as reputable in a right wing echo chamber.
It wasn't a right wing echo chamber, and it cited stats and the primary source in the article. I have not seen serious disputation of the numbers. If CIS has produced information which is unreliable, and has been refuted, then surely there are other numbers that are more reliable. I'm definitely open to reviewing them.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: Speaking of right wing, the Cato Institute, a well known right wing/libertarian think tank, took a look at the report used by The Washington Examiner as the basis for its story. They found numerous problems.

"Center for Immigration Studies Report Exaggerates Immigrant Welfare Use"

"Center for Immigration Studies Report Exaggerates Immigrant Welfare Use, Part 2"

Previously they had issued a report that contradicts assertions made by the Center for Immigration Studies: "Poor Immigrants Use Public Benefits at a Lower Rate than Poor Native-Born Citizens"
I will review those in detail, and respond. I am more than willing to look at contrary evidence, and I recognize that CIS is a nonprofit with the goal of reducing immigration. So, I must remain open to contrary evidence even moreso. So, I will look at the info you presented seriously. It's more than I've had time to look at, as of yet.

L'Emmerdeur wrote:[
Low-income immigrants use public benefits like Medicaid or the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, formerly the Food Stamp Program) at a lower rate than low-income native-born citizens.1
Note - "immigrants" =/= "illegal immigrants." So, a stat concerning immigrant use of benefits is not relevant to the argument I was making. Illegal immigrants do, improperly, use public benefits, and we are discussing to which they do so. It's not a straightforward statistic, because much of what we are dealing with is by its nature fraudulent.
L'Emmerdeur wrote:[

Many immigrants are ineligible for public benefits because of their immigration status.
Indeed, but being ineligible does not mean "not receiving," and many illegal immigrants also are able to game the system. I am certainly open to any information on the rate they do this. I know "some" of them do -- I know that from direct experience -- I know some illegal immigrants, and they've told me how it is accomplished. I am a child of immigrants, and the spouse of an immigrant (legal), and I am very much in favor of immigration. I am very much, however, of the view that there is a serious problem with "illegal" immigration, and I think people fail to recognize the degree of problem, and I think people often conflate illegal immigration with immigration in general.
L'Emmerdeur wrote:[
Nonetheless, some claim that immigrants use more public benefits than the native born, creating a serious and unfair burden for citizens.2 This analysis provides updated analysis of immigrant and native-born utilization of Medicaid, SNAP, cash assistance (Temporary Assistance for Needy Families and similar programs), and the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program based on the most recent data from the Census Bureau’s March 2012 Current Population Survey (CPS).
Again, immigrants using public benefits is different than illegal immigrants doing so.
L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Low-income (family income below 200% of poverty line) non-citizen children and adults utilize Medicaid, SNAP, cash assistance, and SSI at a generally lower rate than comparable low-income native-born citizen children and adults, and the average value of public benefits received per person is generally lower for non-citizens than for natives. Because of the lower benefit utilization rates and the lower average benefit value for low-income non-citizen immigrants, the cost of public benefits to non citizens is substantially less than the cost of equivalent benefits to the native-born.
Though you made an assertion that no social security number is required to receive these benefits, unsurprisingly you provided no support, once again.
No social security number is required because people are not "required" to even have a social security number. It's not legally required, and you can't be barred from benefits just because you never applied for a social security number. You CAN be required to disclose the number, however, if you have one. Since most people have one, it's seen as a de facto requirement. However, if a woman shows up to a government office and applies for SNAP and says she doesn't have a social security number to give them, because they live off the grid or something, then they can't require it. I admit, I haven't provided you with the authority for that, but it's kind of a basic legal issue.
Although many companies, such as banks
and credit companies, may ask for your Social
Security number, you generally aren’t required
to provide one if you don’t have one.

Lawfully admitted noncitizens can get
many benefits and services without a Social
Security number. You don’t need a number to
get a driver’s license, register for school, get
private health insurance, apply for school lunch
programs or subsidized housing.
https://www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10096.pdf
Must my child have a Social Security number?: No. Getting a Social Security number for your newborn is voluntary. But, it is a good idea to get a number when your child is born. You can apply for a Social Security number for your baby when you apply for your baby’s birth certificate. The state agency that issues birth certificates will share your child’s information with us and we will mail the Social Security card to you.
[/quote][/quote] https://www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10023.pdf
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by L'Emmerdeur » Fri Jun 17, 2016 8:47 pm

Your source says that lawfully admitted noncitizens can apply for subsidized housing and school lunch programmes without a social security number. It doesn't say that undocumented noncitizens ("illegals" in your parlance) can apply for those things.

On the other hand, a social security number is required for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. The only exception is for people who are in the process of applying for a social security number.
Everyone who is applying in your household must have or apply for a Social Security number and be either a U.S. citizen, U.S. national or have status as a qualified alien.
A social security number is required to apply for welfare payments.
You will need to provide proof of your household's circumstances. These are the kinds of things you should bring:
Proof of your identity such as driver's license, library card, voter's registration
Social Security cards for all persons applying
The requirements for WIC vary by state, but federally funded assistance programmes generally do require a social security number:
Federal statutes require that applicants for and recipients of Medicaid, Medicaid expansion programs under SCHIP, TANF, and Food Stamp benefits furnish their SSNs [Social Security Numbers].

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Animavore » Sat Jun 18, 2016 9:28 am

Donald Trump Supporters Got Tricked Into Arguing With an Ass Bot Named "Assbott"


On Tuesday, a number of Donald Trump supporters spent hours debating a Twitter user going by the handle "@assbott." What they didn't realize was that the ass bot in question was, in fact, a bot.
https://mic.com/articles/146335/donald- ... .bIiNK0qFU

:funny:
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Scot Dutchy » Sat Jun 18, 2016 9:53 am

Animavore wrote:
Donald Trump Supporters Got Tricked Into Arguing With an Ass Bot Named "Assbott"


On Tuesday, a number of Donald Trump supporters spent hours debating a Twitter user going by the handle "@assbott." What they didn't realize was that the ass bot in question was, in fact, a bot.
https://mic.com/articles/146335/donald- ... .bIiNK0qFU

:funny:
Well you cant really expect much else. Trump himself is no better than a bot. :lol:
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Animavore » Sat Jun 18, 2016 6:03 pm

The ad campaign is vicious.

Libertarianism: The belief that out of all the terrible things governments can do, helping people is the absolute worst.

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Scot Dutchy » Mon Jun 20, 2016 1:59 pm

Dump Trump? Paul Ryan leaves door open to Republican convention revolt
Pressure for one last attempt to dump Donald Trump built among Republicans on Sunday, as the party’s leader appeared to encourage a possible revolt that could still see an alternative nominee chosen at next month’s national convention.

After a week in which the presumptive nominee appalled many colleagues with his reaction to a shooting massacre in Orlando, House speaker Paul Ryan made clear he would not try to obstruct any rebellion against Trump by delegates in Cleveland.

“They write the rules, they make the decisions,” he told NBC’s Meet the Press. “All I want to make sure is to make sure it is done above board, clearly, honestly and by the rules.”

As the highest-ranking Republican in Congress, Ryan will serve as chairman of the party’s convention in late July, when delegates won through primaries formally elect a nominee.

He added: “I see my role, now that he’s got the plurality [of delegates], he actually won, is pretty much a ceremonial position. But the last thing I am going to do is weigh in and tell delegates what to do.”
More...
Talk about being up the creek.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Mon Jun 20, 2016 2:30 pm

Well, that just means that no Republican will be in the white house next year, which is fine. None of the candidates that have reared their ugly heads in the past year are worth a damn, and most, if not all of them, are far worse (more right wing and inflexible) than Trump.

Whatever Trump is, anyone else Paul Ryan may have in mind is more than likely far worse. Who should it be? Ted "Christian Nation" Cruz, who opposes gay marriage, trans bathroom policies, and freedom of/from religion?

People who oppose Republicans should be very much in favor of Trump. He's liberal compared to the Republican field, and he's a pragmatist.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by pErvinalia » Mon Jun 20, 2016 2:57 pm

There must be someone in the Republican party who isn't a complete nut.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Hermit » Mon Jun 20, 2016 3:19 pm

eRv wrote:There must be someone in the Republican party who isn't a complete nut.
Yes. Hillary Clinton. She stopped working for the Republican Party by 1968, but she still is what a Republican ought to be: A conservative liberal.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Scot Dutchy » Mon Jun 20, 2016 3:39 pm

Which is more than enough at this present moment in time IMHO. Try and get Congress sorted out must be high on her list.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by piscator » Mon Jun 20, 2016 11:29 pm

Hermit wrote:
eRv wrote:There must be someone in the Republican party who isn't a complete nut.
Yes. Hillary Clinton. She stopped working for the Republican Party by 1968, but she still is what a Republican ought to be: A conservative liberal.


No, she's a bit left of center and more capable of crossing the Isle to break gridlock than any President in recent history.

Comparing her stances with Australian politics is a misnomer. Same goes for "Other Western democracies" or some assumed "World political spectrum", none of which are the US.
Comparing her politics to Bernie or Trump is also flawed, because they represent "revolutions" that were doomed to fail before they started.
An ego-driven neofascist and a Socialist who wants me to vote myself into an 80%+ tax bracket were never in my consideration for POTUS.

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Scot Dutchy wrote:Which is more than enough at this present moment in time IMHO. Try and get Congress sorted out must be high on her list.
Good eye. This is it in a nutshell.

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by piscator » Mon Jun 20, 2016 11:49 pm

L'Emmerdeur wrote:Your source says that lawfully admitted noncitizens can apply for subsidized housing and school lunch programmes without a social security number. It doesn't say that undocumented noncitizens ("illegals" in your parlance) can apply for those things.

On the other hand, a social security number is required for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. The only exception is for people who are in the process of applying for a social security number.
Everyone who is applying in your household must have or apply for a Social Security number and be either a U.S. citizen, U.S. national or have status as a qualified alien.
A social security number is required to apply for welfare payments.
You will need to provide proof of your household's circumstances. These are the kinds of things you should bring:
Proof of your identity such as driver's license, library card, voter's registration
Social Security cards for all persons applying
The requirements for WIC vary by state, but federally funded assistance programmes generally do require a social security number:
Federal statutes require that applicants for and recipients of Medicaid, Medicaid expansion programs under SCHIP, TANF, and Food Stamp benefits furnish their SSNs [Social Security Numbers].


I guess Forty Two has lost interest in informing his views with these facts? Perhaps he's still searching for "The Real Numbers" that support his original blithe assertions that illegal immigrants suck up welfare and other entitlements and cost him money he otherwise wouldn't have to pay in taxes, which of course go on to substantiate his previous assertions that, by Golly, it's just logical to be a Trump Man because Trump has better ideas?

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