GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Predictions

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Wed Jun 15, 2016 3:46 pm

eRv wrote:You are putting out a bit of a mixed message, 42. On one hand you are claiming that the left in the US are liberals, not progressives.
I'm claiming that liberals in the US tend to refer to themselves as being on the left. Many, also, think progressive and liberal mean about the same thing, and that being progressive is being liberal.
eRv wrote: Yet just now you are saying that the Dems somewhat support protectionism. They can't be both liberal and protectionists.
Democrats traditionally support protectionism, because they -- e.g. unions -- need protectionism, because if you're paying higher wages to assembly line workers here, like $40 an hour, and then you compete against Mexicans making $3 a day, that undercuts the workers in the US.

There have, traditionally, been conservative democrats and liberal democrats. The conservative ones tended to be the ones that supported NAFTA and free trade. The ones that called themselves liberal were more protectionism, and they were all for tariffs.

It's confusing, of course. But, it's like when some folks go around calling libertarians "conservatives" or when some libertarians even refer to themselves as conservative. It's weird.

Lots of confusion over here as to what the words mean.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by pErvinalia » Wed Jun 15, 2016 3:50 pm

You aren't making any sense. Liberals don't support protectionism. The majority of democrats support free trade. The ones who don't are more likely to be what you are terming progressives.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Wed Jun 15, 2016 4:23 pm

eRv wrote:You aren't making any sense. Liberals don't support protectionism.
They did, traditionally, in the US. Liberal Democrats - they support protectionism to protect US workers and the environment.
eRv wrote: The majority of democrats support free trade. The ones who don't are more likely to be what you are terming progressives.
It's all over the map. It's a very asymmetrical issue in the United States.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Tyrannical » Wed Jun 15, 2016 4:46 pm

Enact tarrifs and a,strict no unskilled immigration law and wages will magically go up without the need of a federal minimum wage law.
A rational skeptic should be able to discuss and debate anything, no matter how much they may personally disagree with that point of view. Discussing a subject is not agreeing with it, but understanding it.

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:53 pm

Tyrannical wrote:Enact tarrifs and a,strict no unskilled immigration law and wages will magically go up without the need of a federal minimum wage law.
Good point, that. And, actually, if the government would simply enact effective economic restrictions on those illegally present -- no government benefits -- no health insurance subsidies under Obamacare - no employment (with e-Verify enforced), and also have the IRS require citizenship and immigration status verification (right now, I have to verify that I have health insurance coverage to the IRS, so not sure why we can't have them also verify immigration status).

That way, a person who files taxes must disclose their immigration status (passport number, I-94 number, visa number, etc.) and if they are out of status, then they should automatically ping the BCIS and ICE and issue a notice of voluntary departure with an option to request a hearing with 30 or 60 days to demonstrate lawful presence, request refugee status, or some other thing).

The problem of the long term illegal folks, with kids, should be solved with humanitarian-based exceptions.

The problem of long term illegals, however, became a problem because of a failure of the system to nip the problem in the bud and speedily remove people who are here illegally, and in many cases facilitating their stay by allowing the people to expect to be able to earn livings here.

It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by piscator » Wed Jun 15, 2016 9:00 pm

Forty Two wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Enact tarrifs and a,strict no unskilled immigration law and wages will magically go up without the need of a federal minimum wage law.
Good point, that.


You guys should get a big bunch of bananas and a motel room.

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by JimC » Wed Jun 15, 2016 10:46 pm

piscator wrote:

You guys should get a big bunch of bananas and a motel room.
But strictly no monkey business! :what:
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Svartalf » Wed Jun 15, 2016 10:47 pm

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Svartalf » Wed Jun 15, 2016 10:49 pm

Forty Two wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Enact tarrifs and a,strict no unskilled immigration law and wages will magically go up without the need of a federal minimum wage law.
Good point, that. And, actually, if the government would simply enact effective economic restrictions on those illegally present -- no government benefits -- no health insurance subsidies under Obamacare - no employment (with e-Verify enforced), and also have the IRS require citizenship and immigration status verification (right now, I have to verify that I have health insurance coverage to the IRS, so not sure why we can't have them also verify immigration status).

That way, a person who files taxes must disclose their immigration status (passport number, I-94 number, visa number, etc.) and if they are out of status, then they should automatically ping the BCIS and ICE and issue a notice of voluntary departure with an option to request a hearing with 30 or 60 days to demonstrate lawful presence, request refugee status, or some other thing).

The problem of the long term illegal folks, with kids, should be solved with humanitarian-based exceptions.

The problem of long term illegals, however, became a problem because of a failure of the system to nip the problem in the bud and speedily remove people who are here illegally, and in many cases facilitating their stay by allowing the people to expect to be able to earn livings here.

It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
Actually, humanitarian exceptions are a VERY bad idea, it only leads to anchor kids making it impossible to get rid of undesirable parents period.
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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by L'Emmerdeur » Thu Jun 16, 2016 5:13 am

Forty Two wrote:It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
:bored:
Undocumented immigrants do not qualify for welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, and most other public benefits. Most of these programs require proof of legal immigration status and under the 1996 welfare law, even legal immigrants cannot receive these benefits until they have been in the United States for more than five years.

Non-citizen immigrant adults and children are about 25% less likely to be signed up for Medicaid than their poor native-born equivalents and are also 37% less likely to receive food stamps, according to a 2013 study by the Cato Institute.

Citizen children of illegal immigrants -- often derogatorily referred to as "anchor babies" -- do qualify for social benefits. Also, undocumented immigrants are eligible for schooling and emergency medical care. Currently, the average unlawful immigrant household costs taxpayers $14,387 per household, according to a recent report by The Heritage Foundation. But in its 2013 "Immigration Myths and Facts" report, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce says most economists see providing these benefits as an investment for the future, when these children become workers and taxpayers.

A CBO report on the Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2007 concluded that a path to legalization for immigrants would increase federal revenues by $48 billion. Such a plan would see $23 billion in increased costs from the use of public services, but ultimately, it would produce a surplus of $25 billion for government coffers, CBO said.

[source]

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Thu Jun 16, 2016 11:28 am

piscator wrote:
Forty Two wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Enact tarrifs and a,strict no unskilled immigration law and wages will magically go up without the need of a federal minimum wage law.
Good point, that.


You guys should get a big bunch of bananas and a motel room.
It's what most other first world countries do.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Thu Jun 16, 2016 11:32 am

Svartalf wrote:
Forty Two wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Enact tarrifs and a,strict no unskilled immigration law and wages will magically go up without the need of a federal minimum wage law.
Good point, that. And, actually, if the government would simply enact effective economic restrictions on those illegally present -- no government benefits -- no health insurance subsidies under Obamacare - no employment (with e-Verify enforced), and also have the IRS require citizenship and immigration status verification (right now, I have to verify that I have health insurance coverage to the IRS, so not sure why we can't have them also verify immigration status).

That way, a person who files taxes must disclose their immigration status (passport number, I-94 number, visa number, etc.) and if they are out of status, then they should automatically ping the BCIS and ICE and issue a notice of voluntary departure with an option to request a hearing with 30 or 60 days to demonstrate lawful presence, request refugee status, or some other thing).

The problem of the long term illegal folks, with kids, should be solved with humanitarian-based exceptions.

The problem of long term illegals, however, became a problem because of a failure of the system to nip the problem in the bud and speedily remove people who are here illegally, and in many cases facilitating their stay by allowing the people to expect to be able to earn livings here.

It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
Actually, humanitarian exceptions are a VERY bad idea, it only leads to anchor kids making it impossible to get rid of undesirable parents period.
Well, there has to be a pragmatic compromise. Generally, the humanitarian exceptions should be, IMO, things like refugee status, asylum seekers, people fleeing natural disasters (in conjunction with an international plan that fairly places the burden on various nations).

The key is to address the unlawful presence early, so that we don't have as many situations where unlawfully present children live from infancy to teen years in the US.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Thu Jun 16, 2016 12:02 pm

L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
:bored:
Undocumented immigrants do not qualify for welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, and most other public benefits. Most of these programs require proof of legal immigration status and under the 1996 welfare law, even legal immigrants cannot receive these benefits until they have been in the United States for more than five years.
They're not supposed to work without work authorization either. The problem is the verification process is ineffective. There is little to no enforcement.
L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Non-citizen immigrant adults and children are about 25% less likely to be signed up for Medicaid than their poor native-born equivalents and are also 37% less likely to receive food stamps, according to a 2013 study by the Cato Institute.
"Non-citizen immigrant" =/= illegal immigrant. Of course noncitizen immigrant adults and children are less likely to be signed up for Medicaid. That is as it should be, because to apply for immigrant status (permanent residence), a lawful -- repeat lawful - immigrant has to provide affidavits and documentation of support to show that they can support themselves. Lawful immigrants based on employment have jobs, so they wouldn't normally have to be on Medicaid (LAWFUL immigration based on a job that pays low wages, such as unskilled workers, is very limited, as it should be). LAWFUL immigrants based on family relationships have SPONSORS, who commit to supporting the immigrant.

If you looked at the rate of illegal immigrants obtaining free medical care and/or getting Medicaid, you will see that the percentage among illegal immigrants is much much higher than among legal immigrants.

The laws are so weak, they are getting driver licenses and/or state/county identification, and applying for benefits that way.

Note - According to the U.S. Census Bureau, at least one third of foreign born person in the United States are illegal aliens. One in three. One out of every three foreign born person is an illegal alien. That's not peanuts. Consider, also, that once an illegal alien gives birth to a child here in the US, they become eligible for welfare/WIC, food stamps, Medicaid/SCHIP, and other benefits available to low income people. What is very common is an illegal alien working under the table (office cleaning services, flooring/construction work, etc.), and then declaring no or very low income. They have a child, and collect every benefit in the book meant for low income households.

And, of course, some illegals enter with forged documents, and still others buy forged documents when they get here. There is a market for the purchase of social security numbers which are used to secure employment. The failure of the government to improve security, verify immigrant status, and recognize forged documents are what cause illegal aliens to receive benefits.






L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Citizen children of illegal immigrants -- often derogatorily referred to as "anchor babies" -- do qualify for social benefits. Also, undocumented immigrants are eligible for schooling and emergency medical care. Currently, the average unlawful immigrant household costs taxpayers $14,387 per household, according to a recent report by The Heritage Foundation. But in its 2013 "Immigration Myths and Facts" report, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce says most economists see providing these benefits as an investment for the future, when these children become workers and taxpayers.
LOL - average illegal immigrant household costs taxpayers $14,387 annually. there are about 12 million illegals, so, let's call the average household a household of 4, and so we'll call it 3 million households. $43,161,000,000. That's a cost of $43.16 billion. A cost for people who should never have come here in the first place.

If it's such a great investment, say "most economists," then why don't we give every American household with children $14,387 annually. After all, it's just a great investment for the future, for when children become workers and taxpayers. Heck, why stop there? Give US citizen households $30,000 annually, and watch the money grow!

L'Emmerdeur wrote: A CBO report on the Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2007 concluded that a path to legalization for immigrants would increase federal revenues by $48 billion. Such a plan would see $23 billion in increased costs from the use of public services, but ultimately, it would produce a surplus of $25 billion for government coffers, CBO said.

[source]
[/quote]

Indeed, which is essentially based on the notion that if you legalize these folks, and they take above-the-table jobs, they will pay more in taxes, yes. However, this is not an argument in favor of allowing illegal immigration, or not beefing up restrictions. It's an argument for admitting those currently in the US, at least with children, to the US despite the fact that they did not qualify for lawful entry in the first place. It says, on a cost benefit analysis, it's better to admit them to lawful status, than to try to get rid of them. That may well be what has to be done for a good chunk of those already lawfully present, particularly with children that have never lived in their parents' home countries.

That doesn't change the fact that we should be admitting the people we want in the country lawfully, and excluding the ones that we don't want. There are many, many law abiding persons -- in fact the vast majority of everyone complies with the law and would not try to come in illegally -- there are many, many people waiting all over the world, waiting on immigration waiting lists, applying and re-applying for visas and green cards, and the like, who would really like to come here - through the front door - and be those "taxpayers" that the economists are referring to. If we didn't have to admit millions of illegal immigrants, who gave the finger to the law as they crossed over knowingly without permission, we could admit millions of other folks who have respect for the process and the law.

If illegal immigration is such a good investment, then why do no other civilized, western countries allow unrestricted illegal immigration? Why are they not hesitant to send people back to their home countries, when they march across a border without even applying or stopping for inspection?

And, what gives the illegal immigrant a right that a citizen, of any country, would not have? When people cross international borders, they generally have to stop for inspection. Fuck, if I go to Canada, I have to stop in front of a Canadian immigration officer and justify my attempted entry. I have to show proof of citizenship to enter (and state a non-immigrant reason for entering Canada, like visiting, business meetings, etc.), and if I can't, they will turn me around and send me right back. If I enter for the purpose of immigrating to Canada, the Canadian immigration officer will turn me right around and tell me I have to fill out an application and follow the proper process. I could, of course, find a wooded location and cross over into Canada, and if they found me, would they allow me to legally work, and go to school in Canada, then support my family when I parented a child in Canada, then give me a "path to citizenship" after paying $14,000 per year for me for couple decades as an "investment" in Canada's future? :ask:
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by L'Emmerdeur » Thu Jun 16, 2016 2:01 pm

Forty Two wrote:
L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
:bored:
Undocumented immigrants do not qualify for welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, and most other public benefits. Most of these programs require proof of legal immigration status and under the 1996 welfare law, even legal immigrants cannot receive these benefits until they have been in the United States for more than five years.
They're not supposed to work without work authorization either. The problem is the verification process is ineffective. There is little to no enforcement.
The article I quoted shows that in regards to benefits that you say "illegals here end up with," there is enforcement. You've been free with your assertions, but have completely failed to back them up.
Forty Two wrote:If you looked at the rate of illegal immigrants obtaining free medical care and/or getting Medicaid, you will see that the percentage among illegal immigrants is much much higher than among legal immigrants.
You're making the assertion; you have the burden of proof. I've had enough discussions with you by now that I don't believe anything you say. I've seen you repeatedly parrot completely debunked talking points from right wing blogs as if they were handed down from some divine source.
Forty Two wrote:The laws are so weak, they are getting driver licenses and/or state/county identification, and applying for benefits that way.
A number of states actually provide for undocumented workers to obtain some sort of driving license. To get benefits from a federal agency generally a social security number is required--a state driving license isn't going to be of any use. Again, support your assertion.
Forty Two wrote:Consider, also, that once an illegal alien gives birth to a child here in the US, they become eligible for welfare/WIC, food stamps, Medicaid/SCHIP, and other benefits available to low income people. What is very common is an illegal alien working under the table (office cleaning services, flooring/construction work, etc.), and then declaring no or very low income. They have a child, and collect every benefit in the book meant for low income households.
Children born in the United States are US citizens, and therefore are eligible for benefits. Your assertion regarding what is "very common" is again completely worthless. Provide reputable sources for what you say. This goes for all of the things you're ranting about. For all I know, you believe them because you heard some fruit-loop on right wing talk radio yapping about this topic, but neither they nor you are reliable sources of information.

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Re: GOP Primaries/Caucuses Discussions, Jokes and Prediction

Post by Forty Two » Thu Jun 16, 2016 2:33 pm

L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:
L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:It's really upsetting to lawful immigrants who are living within the system to see illegals getting so much largess from the system. Illegals here end up with free health care, government assistance, food stamps, and all sorts of stuff. There is no enforcement. It's a real problem.
:bored:
Undocumented immigrants do not qualify for welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, and most other public benefits. Most of these programs require proof of legal immigration status and under the 1996 welfare law, even legal immigrants cannot receive these benefits until they have been in the United States for more than five years.
They're not supposed to work without work authorization either. The problem is the verification process is ineffective. There is little to no enforcement.
The article I quoted shows that in regards to benefits that you say "illegals here end up with," there is enforcement. You've been free with your assertions, but have completely failed to back them up.
Illegal immigrants have a higher welfare benefits receipt rate than US citizens. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/on-th ... le/2571730
Of households headed by immigrants in the country illegally, we estimate that 62 percent used one or more welfare programs in 2012, compared to 30 percent of native households.
62% used one or more welfare programs in 2012. Almost 2/3. Does that sound like effective enforcement?

L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:If you looked at the rate of illegal immigrants obtaining free medical care and/or getting Medicaid, you will see that the percentage among illegal immigrants is much much higher than among legal immigrants.
You're making the assertion; you have the burden of proof. I've had enough discussions with you by now that I don't believe anything you say. I've seen you repeatedly parrot completely debunked talking points from right wing blogs as if they were handed down from some divine source.
I have provided proof, above. You have provided no proof for your assertion that illegal immigrants generally do not receive welfare benefits because they are prohibited from doing so. If you have any other stats, that show that illegal immigrants are here without government support, yet somehow surviving even though they are not authorized to work in the US, then please, by all means produce it.

L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:The laws are so weak, they are getting driver licenses and/or state/county identification, and applying for benefits that way.
A number of states actually provide for undocumented workers to obtain some sort of driving license. To get benefits from a federal agency generally a social security number is required--a state driving license isn't going to be of any use. Again, support your assertion.
I have supported my assertion. A social security number is generally NOT required to obtain benefits. You don't even have to have a social security number in the the US. The requirement is to disclose it if you have a social security number. Even banks will open up accounts for you if you don't have a social security number - Canadians do it all the time when they "snowbird" in Florida.
L'Emmerdeur wrote:
Forty Two wrote:Consider, also, that once an illegal alien gives birth to a child here in the US, they become eligible for welfare/WIC, food stamps, Medicaid/SCHIP, and other benefits available to low income people. What is very common is an illegal alien working under the table (office cleaning services, flooring/construction work, etc.), and then declaring no or very low income. They have a child, and collect every benefit in the book meant for low income households.
Children born in the United States are US citizens, and therefore are eligible for benefits.
Indeed, which is part of the problem. No other western, industrialized country allows people to sneak across the border, have a child, and then drain the welfare system. The prevailing view in the "civilized world" is that citizenship is not automatically bestowed by being born in country, as the US does. Most countries require the kid to take the citizenship of the parents.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: Your assertion regarding what is "very common" is again completely worthless. Provide reputable sources for what you say. This goes for all of the things you're ranting about. For all I know, you believe them because you heard some fruit-loop on right wing talk radio yapping about this topic, but neither they nor you are reliable sources of information.
I have provided a reputable source above. This is not even really debatable, as the facts are well-known and this is not controversial. If your assertion is that there are 11 or 12 million illegal aliens in the US, who are not entitled to benefits, and only a few fraudsters are collecting benefits, or working illegally and such, then I would ask you to present YOUR statistics.

I have now provided infinitely more evidence than you have. I await your rebuttal.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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