Global Climate Change Science News

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Seth
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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Seth » Thu Aug 27, 2015 1:13 am

Tero wrote:
The planet has been much, much warmer in the past, as evidenced by the finding of sub-tropical flora fossils near the North Pole, among other evidence.
So what? Nobody denies that. There are violent changes in the planet in its history. Mainly the tectonic periods are fast or slow, as now.
Only back as far as 1600. And a whole 0.6 C. Golly, I'm sooooooo scared that the world is going to end because of a fucking 0.6 C increase in global temperatures.
A big challenge for us. Not Seth, but the main part of the population not grasping that 2-3C would bring major changes to their lives. They would not feel any warmer/colder at -22C vs the new -20C but that is not even the point of all this.
Oh, so it's all about being SELFISH! Now I get it. You want things to remain as they have always been during your lifetime because you are unable and/or unwilling to adapt to changing climatological conditions. Tough. Sucks to be you.

Now explain why the rest of us should be required to sacrifice and pay for your personal definition of a comfortable climate?

You don't like it being hotter, then move somewhere cooler. Altitude or latitude, either one will work. But kindly leave the rest of us to enjoy the upcoming tropical climes of Whitehorse, BC.

Adapt or die.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Tero » Thu Aug 27, 2015 4:14 am

Denialism will not work no matter how many decades you keep repeating it. There are costs. You pay. Give up your addiction to carbon. Pay science folk to innovate.

It's mostly to do with batteries now but other areas will pick up.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Seth » Thu Aug 27, 2015 4:56 am

Tero wrote:Denialism will not work no matter how many decades you keep repeating it. There are costs. You pay. Give up your addiction to carbon. Pay science folk to innovate.

It's mostly to do with batteries now but other areas will pick up.
Tell you what, let's do it the capitalistic way: Science folks innovate and come up with cheaper, better, more abundant fuel sources than gasoline, diesel, natural gas and coal, without any government subsidies, that also perform to at least the same standards as the existing fuels (ie: I need to get a minimum of 400 miles out of a load of fuel and be able to refuel in 10 minutes or less pretty much anywhere within 200 miles of my present location and I need to be able to haul a minimum of 24,500 pounds gross combined weight at 80 mph on the highway and I need to do it in air-conditioned comfort and safety in a driver's compartment that provides adequate protection from the elements and collisions) and when they meet those requirements, and provided they are cheaper than the current fuel supply, and the buy-in does not require that I junk my present vehicles, which I've already paid for and expect to get at least another 10 years of useful life out of, then, and only then will I consider giving up my "addiction to carbon."

They innovate, they pay for it, they market it and if I like it I buy it...or not. I don't care to finance their speculative proposition that they will be able to come up with something to replace the current fully-mature fuel extraction, processing and delivery systems that will cost me LESS THAN what I have already paid over the decades to mature the current system. I've no interest at all in forcing anyone to junk their massive investment in "carbon" just because some dipshits at the IPCC want me to believe global catastrophe will ensue in my lifetime (or the next three lifetimes) if I don't immediately comply with their terroristic tactics and scaremongering.

Face it, the global "addiction" to carbon isn't going to change or go away in any of our lifetimes, or our kid's lifetimes, or their children's lifetimes, or their children's children's lifetimes because there's simply too much money invested in the existing technology that has to be paid back over time and there's absolutely nothing on the immediate, or indeed the long-term horizon that can replace the global need for fossil fuels at anything other than a global-economy-wrecking financial cost and a social cost that will kill billions of people through starvation, war and disease and that will have us all living in wattle-and-daub huts and grubbing in the ground for roots with a sharp stick...those of us who are left that is.

You need to look realistically at how the world actually operates and understand that what you're asking is simply physically, scientifically and economically impossible and will never happen...unless and until your science folks come up with acceptable substitutes at an acceptable price on an acceptable timeline, which doesn't include any substantial change for at least the next quarter century.

Until then you're farting in a hurricane, nothing more.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Tero » Thu Aug 27, 2015 12:01 pm

Ah, you are one of the people who have no idea how science works or is funded. There is often a lot of basic work to be done that has no commercial value.

First we had Khorana.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khorana
20 years later a guy in industry, a total nut not unlike you, discovers the polymerase chain reaction. Which allowed us to have all those crime shows with DNA.

But no Khorana and no TV show DNA

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Seth » Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:50 pm

Tero wrote:Ah, you are one of the people who have no idea how science works or is funded. There is often a lot of basic work to be done that has no commercial value.
I'm sure there is, but you don't get to dun me for the costs of basic research without my permission and consent just because you think it's going to be of eventual value to somebody else who will patent MY genetic code. Fuck that.

If you want me to contribute to scientific research, then ask me for a contribution and be satisfied if I decline.
First we had Khorana.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khorana
20 years later a guy in industry, a total nut not unlike you, discovers the polymerase chain reaction. Which allowed us to have all those crime shows with DNA.

But no Khorana and no TV show DNA
Fallacious appeal to the consequences of a belief.

Somebody would have figured it out eventually, on their own dime or with funding from people who are voluntarily willing to contribute to the research.

If you're going to tax me to pay for scientific research then I'm due royalties on the profits that may derive from that research. Pay up, deadbeat.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Tero » Fri Aug 28, 2015 12:13 am

You are confusing anything that does not make quick buck with Marxism.

Look up NSF funding. See how much goes to MIT, a private college.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Seth » Fri Aug 28, 2015 4:54 am

Tero wrote:You are confusing anything that does not make quick buck with Marxism.

Look up NSF funding. See how much goes to MIT, a private college.
Hey, I'm all for privately-funded science paid for by those who value such things so long as its voluntary and out of their own pockets and not somebody else's, particularly by using the expedient of government force to obtain it through taxation.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by rainbow » Fri Aug 28, 2015 7:39 am

Seth wrote: If you're going to tax me to pay for scientific research then I'm due royalties on the profits that may derive from that research. Pay up, deadbeat.
Rubbish. You benefit in many ways from research that you've no way of understanding the value of the work being done.

Your ignorance is no excuse for not contributing your share.
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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Ian » Fri Aug 28, 2015 11:56 am

Seth's arguments oscillate between A) it's all a bullshit hoax, B) the data is insignificant since human activity is just a fart in the hurricane, and C) it doesn't matter because we can't stop using oil & coal, so we have to just adapt or die.

What he really means is D) he doesn't understand the science very well, and even if he did this whole climate change issue is not something being talked about as a problem by conservatives but by those useful idiot marxist liberals who are never right about anything ever, and he's got to remain loyal to his side.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Seth » Fri Aug 28, 2015 11:30 pm

rainbow wrote:
Seth wrote: If you're going to tax me to pay for scientific research then I'm due royalties on the profits that may derive from that research. Pay up, deadbeat.
Rubbish. You benefit in many ways from research that you've no way of understanding the value of the work being done.

Your ignorance is no excuse for not contributing your share.
Perhaps, but my consent is necessary nonetheless. If you want me to pay "my share" then you do so by producing a product that I wish to purchase, and you get your "contribution" from my purchase. Or, you politely ask me to contribute to your scientific research and if I deem you worthy of the fruits of my labor, I contribute.

You don't get to go haring about learning stuff at the taxpayer's expense just because you want to. You pay for your own vocational pursuits and education and then you market the results and get what's coming to you that way. If you don't produce anything useful or marketable in your intellectual journey why should I pay you to wander idly about in search of enlightenment?
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Seth » Fri Aug 28, 2015 11:34 pm

Ian wrote:Seth's arguments oscillate between A) it's all a bullshit hoax, B) the data is insignificant since human activity is just a fart in the hurricane, and C) it doesn't matter because we can't stop using oil & coal, so we have to just adapt or die.
Well put, but it's not an oscillation, it's a synthesis. It's all three things at once, a bullshit hoax about human activity that's just a fart in a hurricane which doesn't matter because we won't be giving up fossil fuels in the foreseeable future so we should instead adapt to whatever happens...or die.

If you believe in a 300 meter sea-level rise in the next thousand years then quit bitching about it and start paying to build 300 foot tall sea walls or moving infrastructure and populations 400 meters higher. Shit or get off the pot. Lead by example. Spend YOUR money and YOUR labor doing something about your beliefs or shut the fuck up about it.
What he really means is D) he doesn't understand the science very well, and even if he did this whole climate change issue is not something being talked about as a problem by conservatives but by those useful idiot marxist liberals who are never right about anything ever, and he's got to remain loyal to his side.
No, what I mean is the AGW panic is a bullshit hoax about human activity that's just a fart in a hurricane which doesn't matter because we won't be giving up fossil fuels in the foreseeable future so we should instead adapt to whatever happens...or die.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Animavore » Sat Aug 29, 2015 4:57 pm

Ian wrote:Seth's arguments oscillate between A) it's all a bullshit hoax, B) the data is insignificant since human activity is just a fart in the hurricane, and C) it doesn't matter because we can't stop using oil & coal, so we have to just adapt or die.

What he really means is D) he doesn't understand the science very well, and even if he did this whole climate change issue is not something being talked about as a problem by conservatives but by those useful idiot marxist liberals who are never right about anything ever, and he's got to remain loyal to his side.
That's the way all denialists go. I was watching a documentary about them recently and it showed one of their conventions and one of the posters I saw in the background even contradicted itself in the four bullet-points it presented.
Last edited by Animavore on Sat Aug 29, 2015 5:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Animavore » Sat Aug 29, 2015 5:00 pm

Scientists try to replicate the results from 'contrarian' (read: affiliated with and sponsored by oil companies) papers. Predictably, they are a massive fail.
Those who reject the 97% expert consensus on human-caused global warming often invoke Galileo as an example of when the scientific minority overturned the majority view. In reality, climate contrarians have almost nothing in common with Galileo, whose conclusions were based on empirical scientific evidence, supported by many scientific contemporaries, and persecuted by the religious-political establishment. Nevertheless, there’s a slim chance that the 2–3% minority is correct and the 97% climate consensus is wrong.

To evaluate that possibility, a new paper published in the journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology examines a selection of contrarian climate science research and attempts to replicate their results. The idea is that accurate scientific research should be replicable, and through replication we can also identify any methodological flaws in that research. The study also seeks to answer the question, why do these contrarian papers come to a different conclusion than 97% of the climate science literature?

This new study was authored by Rasmus Benestad, myself (Dana Nuccitelli), Stephan Lewandowsky, Katharine Hayhoe, Hans Olav Hygen, Rob van Dorland, and John Cook. Benestad (who did the lion’s share of the work for this paper) created a tool using the R programming language to replicate the results and methods used in a number of frequently-referenced research papers that reject the expert consensus on human-caused global warming. In using this tool, we discovered some common themes among the contrarian research papers.

Cherry picking was the most common characteristic they shared. We found that many contrarian research papers omitted important contextual information or ignored key data that did not fit the research conclusions. For example, in the discussion of a 2011 paper by Humlum et al. in our supplementary material, we note,
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/ ... ian-papers
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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Animavore » Sat Aug 29, 2015 5:07 pm

Tero wrote:They were Seth.
Not like him to get desperate in an argument. Or maybe it is? Unfortunately I'm not great on politics so I used to have to trust that he had a clue what he was talking about. Now all of that is in severe doubt for me. I nearly feel like brushing up on politics just to find out how much shite he was really talking.

Nearly. The subject bores me too much.
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Re: Global Climate Change Science News

Post by Animavore » Sat Aug 29, 2015 5:34 pm

I should mention there was one ray of sunshine in that documentary I watched; all of the denialists seemed to be old, bloated white folk, mostly male, who, looking at their state of health, are going to die out soon.

The movie reminded of that saying from Max Planck quote - "Science advances one funeral at a time".

The funniest part was watching Libertarian wind-bags storm out of a debate en masse while calling Michael Sherman a liar. The ultimate trait of someone who has lost the debate. Fucking sad sacks.
Libertarianism: The belief that out of all the terrible things governments can do, helping people is the absolute worst.

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