UK General Election 2016

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cronus
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UK General Election 2016

Post by cronus » Thu Jun 09, 2016 5:25 am

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-36467169

Will there be a general election before Christmas?

We few, we very few, we merry band of brothers and sisters, have felt like pigs in the proverbial.
For those who delight in the electoral process, one delight has followed another - the local, regional and mayoral elections, all but a taster for the big event, the referendum.
Last year there was a general election, the year before that the Scottish referendum.

Here's the bad news for those who aren't so happy in this electoral mud bath.
I wouldn't be at all surprised if there was a general election before Christmas.
On 24 June we will have chosen a path, and will live in a different world.

It may matter more for British politics than all the other votes rolled together.
The consequences for the economy, for policy, will matter more than shenanigans within political parties.
And the vote will have consequences for Labour and UKIP, but its greatest impact will be on the party in government.

The referendum is a binary choice: in or out, but what flows from that is the choice of those in power.
The campaign has been notable for the way it has seemed at times a private squabble in the upper echelons of the Conservative Party, vicious blue-on-blue action.
That will have massive consequences.

It is commonly accepted at Westminster that if the UK votes to leave the EU, Prime Minister David Cameron will be toast.
The debate has been whether his smoking, ruined career would last three hours - or just three seconds.
It may be slightly more complex than that.

Senior Leave Tories say, privately as well as publicly, that they would want him to stay on. Weirdly, I believe them.
It would suit them to have, for a while at least, a front man in negotiations with Brussels who was a prisoner of their design.

If there is the short-term economic chaos the prime minister has predicted, there will be those who argue it is his duty to cope with it, rather than spooking the markets even more by piling political uncertainty on top of economic jitters.
So I would expect him to set a date - as early as November or as late as next summer - when there would be a leadership election.

(continued, no parody or will it be?) :nono:
What will the world be like after its ruler is removed?

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Scot Dutchy
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Re: UK General Election 2016

Post by Scot Dutchy » Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:07 am

Would the conditions of the five year rule be met?

I dont think so.
"Wat is het een gezellig boel hier".

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Re: UK General Election 2016

Post by cronus » Thu Jun 09, 2016 3:01 pm

Scot Dutchy wrote:Would the conditions of the five year rule be met?

I dont think so.
I imagine there'd be a vote of no confidence. If it is being discussed then imagine there'll be a labyrinthine political process to make it possible?

What will the world be like after its ruler is removed?

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Re: UK General Election 2016

Post by Scot Dutchy » Thu Jun 09, 2016 3:24 pm

Two thirds have to vote against the government. A big ask. SNP and Labour vote with the government to avoid a GE which Labour is prepared for?
"Wat is het een gezellig boel hier".

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