pErvin wrote:
42 will conveniently ignore this post..
It's interesting, and indeed, I put in age 60 and $50k income and mouse-overed to Woodward County Oklahoma and I will acknowledge that the numbers are what Oliver reported. The BS meter goes really high, though, for a couple of reasons. This map purports to project a credit to 2020. However, if you use the Kaiser Foundation's calculator for subsidies for 2017, a $50k income for a 60 year old single person merits $0 in subsidies -- not a few grand, nothing. Zero. Zip. Zilch nada. Even a family of 4 headed by the 60 year old making $50k gets only about $2350 - nothing anywhere close to $13,000.
So, my question is - where is the KFF getting their numbers from? What is changing from 2017 to 2020 that increases a single person's subsidy from $0 to $13,000 in 2-3 years? Does that sound reasonable?
Also, if you check the map, and enter in $75,000, the single 60 year old making $75k gets $13,000 too. Also, enter in $100,000 and the same single guy gets almost $10,000 in subsidies under Obamacare.
So, according to this map, people making $100,000 -- which is the top 5 or 6% of income earners, are getting nearly $10,000 in subsidies for health insurance, and people making $75k, which is about the top 10% of income earners -- get over $13,000 in subsidies in 2020? That's what this projection is trying to tell us? That "the rich" are getting their health insurance almost entirely paid for by the government in 2020?
I posted the link to Kaiser's current calculator showing what subsidies people are entitled to by income, family size, and zip code, etc. Nobody making $75k or even $50k gets a subsidy, but for some reason two years from now, they're all getting subsidies, and not just a help, but enough to pay most or all of Silver or Gold policies?
Obamacare subsidies are a sliding scale, offered to people who make from 100% to 400% of the poverty level. If you make over 400% of the poverty level, you don't get a subsidy. Is this supposed to change in 2018, 2019, or 2020? The 2016 poverty guidelines show that $12,071 is the poverty threshold for a one-person household. Based on these numbers alone, 100 to 400 percent of the federal poverty level for a single person would be $12,071 to $48,284. However, this person may or may not be eligible for a premium tax credit.
http://www.healthedeals.com/articles/wh ... -subsidies
So, it's not possible for a 60 year old making $50k to get a tax credit for 2017. Unless the poverty line goes up considerably -- like to $50k, so he's making 100% of the poverty level, he would not be entitled to a subsidy of $13000.
Take this article by the Kaiser Family Foundation --
http://kff.org/health-reform/issue-brie ... x-credits/
Take, for example, a person age 40 with income of $30,000, which is 253% of poverty. At this income, the person’s specified percentage of income is 8.28% in 2017, which means that the person receives a tax credit if he or she has to pay more than 8.28% of income (or $2,485 annually) for the second-lowest-cost silver premium where he or she lives. If we assume a premium of $4,328 (the national average benchmark premium for a person age 40 in 2017), the person’s tax credit would be the difference between the benchmark premium and the specified percentage of income, or $4,328 – $2,485 = $1,843 (or $154 per month).
So, person aged 40 making only $30k (much less than the $50k in Oliver's video) -- The $50k in oliver's video is like 421% of poverty, while $30k is only 253% over poverty level. Even that person, making far less than in Oliver's example, only gets about $1,843 in subsidy. So, what's this person going to get in 2020? According to the Kaiser map page you linked to - that person gets $13,350 in subsidies in 2020. So, he goes from $1845 this year to $13,350 in 2020. Really?
And doesn't it at all smell funny to you that every income bracket on that map gets $13,350 up to the $100,000 mark, and the $100,000 mark gets just under $10,000? Even someone only making $20k per year in Woodward County Oklahama gets the same subsidy as someone making $75,000 per year. Do you really think that's how Obamacare operates? A flat subsidy for people making $20,000 to $99,000 and then a couple grand less for those in the top 5% of income?
It's not accurate.
Now take a look here - also from Kaiser --
http://kff.org/health-reform/issue-brie ... x-credits/ Scroll down to Table 2. According to that table, nobody making over $40k gets any subsidy at all. A $50k per year 60 year old under Obamacare would get $0 tax credit, yet the map projects that the person would get $13,350 whether he or she makes $20k or $75k? Something is wrong with that.
Note this -
Unlike the ACA, the replacement plan provides tax credits to people over 400% percent of the poverty level (phasing out around 900% of poverty for a single person), as well as to people current buying individual market coverage outside of the marketplaces
Thus, the Kaiser Foundation flat out says that the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) does not provide tax credits to people over 400% of the poverty level, but the new replacement act (Ryancare) has subsidies up to 900% of poverty. How does that square with the suggestion of the map that says a person making $50k or $75k would get $13,350 in subsidies. Add to that the blurb that says that 40 year old making $30k per year would only get about $4100 in subsidies. He's going to go from $4100 to $13,350, along with everyone making up past $75k?
And, again a person in 2020 making $100k per year is going to get nearly $10,000 in subsidies? What's changing? Is Obamacare raising the poverty level to $25,000 or $30k per year? Or, is Obamacare raising the percentage over poverty level at which subsidies are granted to 7 or 8 time poverty? What's going on to make these numbers work?
Something is off about those projections.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar