Post
by Forty Two » Mon Oct 17, 2016 12:55 pm
Hermit wrote:rainbow wrote:Hermit wrote:
Extrapolating from a single sample is silly.
True. The single sample is all we have, though, and that is better than none at all.
Moot.
If there weren't a single example, we wouldn't be thinking about this at all.
Of course we wouldn't be thinking about this at all. No surprises there, for we simply wouldn't be.
That is moot.
Looking at the situation as it stands, at this stage we do know of only one planet capable of supporting life, and that planet does support life. It makes sense to speculate that there are gazillions of planets spread across billions of galaxies that contain around a billion stars each, that a few of them are capable of supporting life forms and that there is a real, though not calculable chance that extraterrestrial life does exist somewhere. It certainly makes more sense than saying something like: Even though planet earth supports life forms no other planet in the universe does.
Well, both of those statements make sense as possibilities. Neither of them make sense as a statement of knowledge because we just don't know.
It's possible Earth is the only one. It's possible there are billions. It's possible there are just a few. We don't know the likelihood of life forming.
It does make sense to speculate. Speculation is how we use our imaginations to divine possibilities to research and calculate. However, to say it makes more sense that there are billions of life-harboring worlds, as opposed to saying there is one life harboring world is incorrect. For one of those statements to make more sense, there would have to be some demonstrated assumptions known which are currently unknown.
I certainly agree that it is possible the universe is, relatively speaking, teaming with life. I also prefer to think of a universe filled with life than a universe of non-life and us. However, that preference is neither sense nor evidence.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar