To Halt Ebola’s Spread, Researchers Race for Data

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cronus
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To Halt Ebola’s Spread, Researchers Race for Data

Post by cronus » Sat Nov 29, 2014 4:00 pm

http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/crux/ ... Hnsv9KsXWQ

To Halt Ebola’s Spread, Researchers Race for Data

The Ebola virus has consistently stayed several steps ahead of doctors, public officials and others trying to fight the epidemic. Throughout the first half of 2014, it spread quickly as international and even local leaders failed to recognize the severity of the situation. In recent weeks, with international response in high gear, the virus has thrown more curve balls.

The spread has significantly slowed in Liberia and beds for Ebola patients are empty even as the U.S. is building multiple treatment centers there. Meanwhile the epidemic has escalated greatly in Sierra Leone, which has a serious dearth of treatment centers. And in Mali, where an incursion was successfully contained in October, a rash of new cases has spread from an infected imam.

Predicting the trajectory of Ebola rather than playing catching-up could do much to help prevent and contain the disease. Some experts have called for prioritizing mobile treatment units that can be quickly relocated to the spots most needed. Figuring out where Ebola is likely to strike next or finding emerging hot spots early on would be key to the placement of these treatment centers.

But such modeling requires data, and lots of it. And for stressed healthcare workers on the ground and government and non-profit agencies scrambling to combat a raging epidemic, collecting and disseminating data is often not a high priority.

(continued)
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Re: To Halt Ebola’s Spread, Researchers Race for Data

Post by mistermack » Sat Nov 29, 2014 6:17 pm

Is there any evidence that good medical treatment slows the spread of Ebola?
I'm sure it increases the survival chances, but that's a different matter to slowing the spread.

I would have thought that an information blitz would be more effective than treatment of the sick.
Not that it has to be one or the other.
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Re: To Halt Ebola’s Spread, Researchers Race for Data

Post by cronus » Sat Nov 29, 2014 6:25 pm

mistermack wrote:Is there any evidence that good medical treatment slows the spread of Ebola?
I'm sure it increases the survival chances, but that's a different matter to slowing the spread.

I would have thought that an information blitz would be more effective than treatment of the sick.
Not that it has to be one or the other.
The ill need copious amounts of water. I wonder how much fresh water there is available? Lots of questions...known knowns and unknown unknowns.
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