That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

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DRSB
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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by DRSB » Tue Feb 06, 2018 5:04 am

pErvinalia wrote:
DRSB wrote:
pErvinalia wrote:"Definitely"? You appeared to be arguing above that past experience is essentially irrelevant. There's a disconnect there.
Not about the past experience in itself, but about the document. It belongs into the CV, not in the letter of motivation.
No, you said past performance isn't any predictor to future performance. That's an absolutist statement that isn't going to change regardless of what application document it appears in.
OK, past performance is a minor predictor of future performance but some people see nothing else to go by so they alsolutize it. I attribute very little meaning to it but that's me, and some other people I know. Either absolute position is fallacious. Like I wrote, I am probably too much Nassim Taleb school.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Sean Hayden » Tue Feb 06, 2018 5:24 am

The Drunkard's Walk talks a bit about this too if I remember correctly. It deals with our tendency to attribute success to anything other than chance, for example, even when chance is clearly a better fit.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by DRSB » Tue Feb 06, 2018 5:54 am

Sean Hayden wrote:The Drunkard's Walk talks a bit about this too if I remember correctly. It deals with our tendency to attribute success to anything other than chance, for example, even when chance is clearly a better fit.
We are soon keen on finding patters because this is how we learn. Not so AI though, like I wrote on the other thread. The drunkard's walk is a metaphor for the memorylessness in Markov chains.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Sean Hayden » Sat Feb 10, 2018 4:42 am

The US has more than 89,000 local governments. Most citizens fall under at least 5 governments: national, state, county, municipal, and school district.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by JimC » Sat Feb 10, 2018 5:18 am

Sean Hayden wrote:The US has more than 89,000 local governments. Most citizens fall under at least 5 governments: national, state, county, municipal, and school district.
And you elect law enforcement officers, which from over here seems so fucking weird...
Nurse, where the fuck's my cardigan?
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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Scot Dutchy » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:28 am

Are dog catchers still elected?
"Wat is het een gezellig boel hier".

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Rum » Sat Feb 10, 2018 11:34 am

A man spent 90 million dollars recently to send an old car to Mars.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Scot Dutchy » Sat Feb 10, 2018 12:04 pm

Yes absurd when 28 million of fellow subjects cant afford health care.
"Wat is het een gezellig boel hier".

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Rum » Sat Feb 17, 2018 9:20 am

Ben, from Ben & Jerry's ice cream, has no sense of smell and gets his "food enjoyment" from texture. This is why the brand puts chunky ingredients in their icecream.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Sean Hayden » Sun Feb 18, 2018 7:45 pm

Mary Read lived as a man, Mark Read, until she was outed by fellow pirate Anne Bonny. This was in the 18th century.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Brian Peacock » Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:34 pm

DRSB wrote:
pErvinalia wrote:That's called bullshitting. I'm going to do this and that for your company. Yeah right. The only verifiable measure on potential future performance is past performance.
The most unreliable predictor of future performance is past performance.
The most unreliable predictor of future performance is what people say about their past performance.
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Clinton Huxley » 21 Jun 2012 » 14:10:36 GMT
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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Hermit » Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:14 pm

Brian Peacock wrote:
DRSB wrote:
pErvinalia wrote:That's called bullshitting. I'm going to do this and that for your company. Yeah right. The only verifiable measure on potential future performance is past performance.
The most unreliable predictor of future performance is past performance.
The most unreliable predictor of future performance is what people say about their past performance.
The older I become, the better I was.
I am, somehow, less interested in the weight and convolutions of Einstein’s brain than in the near certainty that people of equal talent have lived and died in cotton fields and sweatshops. - Stephen J. Gould

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Rum » Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:18 pm

I think it's pot luck. I used to be involved in recruitment interviews maybe three or four times a year over 15 years or so. You got a decent impression about a person's ability to do a job but not how well. That didn't come out until they actually performed it. I know we picked a few duds as well as some positive surprises over the years.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Sean Hayden » Thu Feb 22, 2018 3:26 pm

Canada has more doughnut shops per capita than any other country in the world.

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Re: That's amazing ! Post incredible facts here.

Post by Brian Peacock » Thu Feb 22, 2018 8:55 pm

It's illegal to sell cakes on a Sunday or public holiday in Tallahassee, but you can still buy a bump stock.
Rationalia relies on voluntary donations. There is no obligation of course, but if you value this place and want to see it continue please consider making a small donation towards the forum's running costs.
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"It isn't necessary to imagine the world ending in fire or ice.
There are two other possibilities: one is paperwork, and the other is nostalgia."

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"This is how humanity ends; bickering over the irrelevant."
Clinton Huxley » 21 Jun 2012 » 14:10:36 GMT
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