DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Mr.Samsa » Tue May 20, 2014 10:13 pm

JimC wrote:There seems to be two extremes in this ADHD debate. One is those who are convinced that either it does not exist, or that, even if it does, it is a condition that can always be dealt with by either a change in diet, counselling or better parenting/teaching.
The other seems to come from Mr Samsa, stating basically that every (or virtually ever) case of ADHD is a correct diagnosis, with the right prescription, and that there is simply no possibility of a degree of over diagnosis or prescription, and that the pharmaceutical industry has no impact on doctor's decisions at all...
Whoa, that does sound like an extreme position! I've never stated anything even remotely similar to that though. All of medicine includes errors, bias, and sometimes even outright dodgy dealings, but my point is simply that the evidence clearly shows that there is no systematic problem of overdiagnosis. There may be influence from drug companies but we know that this influence must be minimal given that the rate of diagnosis is still lower than the actual prevalence rate and the rates in the US are consistent with the rest of the world (where pharmaceutical companies have no direct way of affecting the judgement of clinicians). More importantly, the people who make the diagnoses are usually clinical psychologists who have no prescribing rights anyway and they have to give their "business" to someone else to treat them, which doesn't seem like the best way to make a profit.

And again the evidence shows that there is currently a problem of underprescription due to the "what about the children!" mommy-science that is affecting our ability to treat these kids in the same way that the Wakefield fears have affected vaccination rates. There may be pockets and areas of overprescription but we do know that, on the whole, there is a serious problem of underprescription that needs to be addressed and fixed.

This isn't an opinion topic. You can't say that holding the middle ground is the most rational when the evidence flatly states that it's false. We don't have to entertain the idea that there is a problem of overprescription when there isn't. This is the same problem with the "false balance" debates we have on TV where they pit a single scientist against a single vaccine denier, or a single scientist against a single climate change denier. We don't have to afford an equal amount of time to things which are wrong just because we have this irrational need for "fairness".
JimC wrote:I'm certain, like Hermit, that the condition exists, and that treatment by drugs can be very effective, because I've seen in with my own eyes. However, I have read many a report by responsible journalists suggesting that over-prescription, for a variety of reasons, is a real phenomenon. It doesn't take a weird conspiracy theory to understand that a variety of human motivations from companies and individuals can and does distort rational decision making...
Journalists eh? Too bad the actual evidence suggests otherwise. I'll give you one thing though - there is a problem with GPs trying to diagnose and treat ADHD, and that's the suspected reason for some fluctuation and instances of overdiagnosis in certain parts, but there is no evidence of systematic overdiagnosis. As I've explained, if anything, there is a serious problem of underdiagnosis and undertreatment.

The fact that these discussions always devolve into comments along the lines of: "I believe ADHD exists but too many normal kids who just have too much energy are just being diagnosed to make them easier to control by their teachers and parents" demonstrates that the people who tend to like discussing this topic don't have the basic knowledge they need to have to meaningfully comment on it. Like I mention above, it's like entering a vaccination discussion and saying that you think that they can work for some people but there's a problem with them being given to too many children.

No, by all accounts we have the opposite problem. There may be some areas where there is a problem of overdiagnosis or overprescription but focusing on them in a discussion of ADHD is like worrying about dropping a glass of milk in your kitchen whilst an earthquake rips your city apart - yes, it's a problem that the milk might stain your floor but how about we deal with the more pressing issue first?
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Nicko » Tue May 20, 2014 10:22 pm

Mr.Samsa wrote:Poor Nicko... Looks like he understands so little about the ADHD topic that he's taken to simply making up an opponent's position and trying to knock it down. I don't understand the point of his outburst though - surely he should wait for someone to make the argument he's fighting against before debunking it? Just seems silly to me.

It'd be interesting to see if he could find any problems with the arguments that Shrunk or I have made though, hopefully he gets around to trying to address them at some point.
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Mr.Samsa » Tue May 20, 2014 10:48 pm

You realise that that doesn't make any sense, right?...

Edit: Whilst you're here, let's try to get something productive out it. You said:
It's almost like he thinks that a clinician's opinion might have some bearing on a diagnosis of ADHD. What a fucking retard. What an anti-science conspiracy theorist. Next he'll be speculating that variation in norms might result in some variation of behaviours deemed "abnormal".

Of course we know - having been told by an expert on these matters - that the process of diagnosing ADHD is as objective and as scientific as can be.
Who are you arguing against here? If you read my posts in the ADHD thread you'll see that I've already provided some good information on how the clinician's judgement is a vital part of the diagnostic process (as it is in medicine as a whole), and I explained how mental disorders exist on a continuum where extreme variation results in what is considered "abnormal". I pointed out that diagnosing mental disorders is as objective as any application of science can be when values are involved, and I explicitly stated that diagnosis is not a scientific process. I also made it clear that appeals to authority are worthless which is why I never appealed to my own authority and only commented on the available evidence.

From the looks of it, since everything you've said/implied is in agreement with my position, it appears that you're arguing against Cito and Metatron?

Also, it's ridiculous to call someone making valid comments based on evidence an "anti-science conspiracy theorist". It's better to save those labels for people like Metatron who has now explicitly denied the existence of mental disorders as a whole...
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by JimC » Tue May 20, 2014 11:15 pm

Mr.Samsa wrote:

The fact that these discussions always devolve into comments along the lines of: "I believe ADHD exists but too many normal kids who just have too much energy are just being diagnosed to make them easier to control by their teachers and parents" demonstrates that the people who tend to like discussing this topic don't have the basic knowledge they need to have to meaningfully comment on it. Like I mention above, it's like entering a vaccination discussion and saying that you think that they can work for some people but there's a problem with them being given to too many children.
Not a good comparison. The entire population of children requires vaccination, for very good reasons. Although there are, unfortunately, a very tiny number of children who may suffer an allergic reaction, it's clear that there is no systematic effect like increasing rates of autism.

AHDH applies to a small subset of children, and the diagnosis of the condition involves subjective elements. I'm not saying there is a deliberate and widespread tendency to over prescribe, but that mis-diagnosis and prescription of drugs for no good reason will inevitably happen, even without systematic pressure from drug companies. In addition, drug treatment is not always the only valid treatment for the condition, whereas vaccination for herd immunity cannot be replaced by other means.
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Mr.Samsa » Wed May 21, 2014 12:27 am

JimC wrote:
Mr.Samsa wrote:

The fact that these discussions always devolve into comments along the lines of: "I believe ADHD exists but too many normal kids who just have too much energy are just being diagnosed to make them easier to control by their teachers and parents" demonstrates that the people who tend to like discussing this topic don't have the basic knowledge they need to have to meaningfully comment on it. Like I mention above, it's like entering a vaccination discussion and saying that you think that they can work for some people but there's a problem with them being given to too many children.
Not a good comparison. The entire population of children requires vaccination, for very good reasons. Although there are, unfortunately, a very tiny number of children who may suffer an allergic reaction, it's clear that there is no systematic effect like increasing rates of autism.

AHDH applies to a small subset of children, and the diagnosis of the condition involves subjective elements. I'm not saying there is a deliberate and widespread tendency to over prescribe, but that mis-diagnosis and prescription of drugs for no good reason will inevitably happen, even without systematic pressure from drug companies. In addition, drug treatment is not always the only valid treatment for the condition, whereas vaccination for herd immunity cannot be replaced by other means.
Except that of course there is a subjective element in all medical decisions. Everything else you point out is meaningless because of course there are differences between the two cases presented in the analogy, as if there were no differences then it wouldn't be an analogy. Since the differences don't invalidate the analogy in any way at all though we can safely dismiss them.

The point is that there can be some valid concerns about a widespread vaccination program because there are individual differences, side effects, etc, and there will inevitably be cases where the judgement to vaccinate (which includes a subjective element on the part of the doctor) results in harm to the child. But when we're discussing vaccination it would be absurd to focus the entire discussion on such a tiny problem (which clinicians are aware of and do what they can to eliminate it happening) when the obvious problem with vaccinations currently is the low vaccination rate. In other words, presenting the vaccine issue as if the problem was that too many kids are being vaccinated would be fucked up as we have the opposite problem.

The same applies to ADHD in that inevitably there will be errors on the part of the doctors involved, as there are in all medical fields because medical judgement necessarily involves subjective elements as you say, but if when we're faced with the serious problem of the undertreatment of ADHD it is absurd to try to re-focus the discussion on the idea that there is an overprescription problem simply because there are very limited and extremely isolated cases where this may be true because we currently have the opposite problem.
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by JimC » Wed May 21, 2014 1:02 am

In Australia, there is no way there is a "serious problem of the undertreatment of ADHD". AHDH diagnosis & treatment via drugs is reasonably common, and, in the majority of cases, a responsible course of action. But the medical and education community would find the existence of a large pool of untreated cases simply crying out for a dose of Ritalin to be an utterly ridiculous proposition. The vast majority of "problem students" who are not currently diagnosed with AHDH or being treated have issues which involve one or more of the following factors:
1. Major disruptions at home, and/or poor parenting
2. Mental issues which are unrelated to ADHD
3. Excessive dependence on dugs and alcohol
4. Poor teaching
5. Under-resourced schools without appropriate support staff
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by pErvinalia » Wed May 21, 2014 1:14 am

Jeez, stop derailing this thread, you lot! :lay:

Can we get back to sledging the mods at ratskep now?? :tea:
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Robert_S » Wed May 21, 2014 1:27 am

rEvolutionist wrote:Jeez, stop derailing this thread, you lot! :lay:

Can we get back to sledging the mods at ratskep now?? :tea:
Why don't you and the Ratskep mods just take some damn Ritalin and chill the fuck out. :sulk:
What I've found with a few discussions I've had lately is this self-satisfaction that people express with their proffessed open mindedness. In realty it ammounts to wilful ignorance and intellectual cowardice as they are choosing to not form any sort of opinion on a particular topic. Basically "I don't know and I'm not going to look at any evidence because I'm quite happy on this fence."
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Mr.Samsa » Wed May 21, 2014 1:40 am

JimC wrote:In Australia, there is no way there is a "serious problem of the undertreatment of ADHD". AHDH diagnosis & treatment via drugs is reasonably common, and, in the majority of cases, a responsible course of action. But the medical and education community would find the existence of a large pool of untreated cases simply crying out for a dose of Ritalin to be an utterly ridiculous proposition. The vast majority of "problem students" who are not currently diagnosed with AHDH or being treated have issues which involve one or more of the following factors:
1. Major disruptions at home, and/or poor parenting
2. Mental issues which are unrelated to ADHD
3. Excessive dependence on dugs and alcohol
4. Poor teaching
5. Under-resourced schools without appropriate support staff
Sounds inconsistent with the current data we have and given that the rate of ADHD in Australia is comparable to the rest of the world, I don't understand how it could be that they (for some reason) have an actual lower prevalence of ADHD but somehow the rate of overdiagnosis happens to equal that which is consistent with everywhere else.

I'd be interested in seeing some research demonstrating overdiagnosis in Australia though. For obvious reasons I'm not going to accept anecdotes of "but all the kids seem to have ADHD these days!" or journalists writing about an ADHD epidemic..
rEvolutionist wrote:Jeez, stop derailing this thread, you lot! :lay:

Can we get back to sledging the mods at ratskep now?? :tea:
I don't think the mods exist because their existence is subjective. What is a "human" anyway? Biologists just arbitrarily defined a collection of cells as an organism but suddenly decide that thinks like viruses aren't living? Fucking Big Biology controlling the world.
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by JimC » Wed May 21, 2014 2:24 am

Robert_S wrote:
rEvolutionist wrote:Jeez, stop derailing this thread, you lot! :lay:

Can we get back to sledging the mods at ratskep now?? :tea:
Why don't you and the Ratskep mods just take some damn Ritalin and chill the fuck out. :sulk:
:lol:

(make mine a large neat gin, please..)
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Hermit » Wed May 21, 2014 5:16 am

rEvolutionist wrote:
Hermit wrote:There are situations where rigorous statistical evidence for the existence of Dunning-Kruger types can be clearly and incontrovertibly demonstrated. Look at the "faster than wind" discussion. I admit that I have decided to not waste further time on the topic after a few pages, but it would not surprise me that if someone with the requisite knowledge of physics and concurrent mathematical competence has come up with a few brief and elegant lines of equations that unequivocally prove the faster than wind concept to be as harebrained as every other perpetuum mobile type proposal. Anyone stubbornly persisting in arguing in favour of it with the certainty of a fool would incriminate himself as the D-G type.
I'm not 100% sure what position you are arguing here, but the faster than wind craft thingy is 100% legit. You need to keep reading.
Belated thanks, rEvolutionist. I have taken up your suggestion and upon further reading totally changed my mind on the matter. Summarising, if the Velocity Made Good is greater than speed of wind at the time, then faster than wind sailing is possible. Calculating that speed is fairly simple. That it is possible for VMG to exceed the speed of wind has been comprehensively demonstrated with the cats used in last year's America's Cup and many other instances before that series of races. The empirical data are there, and they cannot be argued out of existence.

It looks like my previous, erroneously held opinion was based on a vaguely held prejudice rather than facts, and I am happy to abandon it. While I certainly don't like change for its own sake, I positively rejoice in seeing mistaken preconceptions, be they mine or anyone else's, binned. It means progress. Not that the topic of faster than wind is of world-shattering significance, but I can't help being pleased to be still able to see errors in my thinking. Some opinions may seem embarrassing to have been held in the first place, but I prefer to focus on the fact that they've been eliminated.
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by pErvinalia » Wed May 21, 2014 5:55 am

I found it an utterly fascinating topic, as I was convinced it was a sham at the start. It was a real fantastic moment to walk through the concepts and some of the maths/physics and realise something which sounded so utterly bogus was in fact real. It's one of my favourite topics on any discussion forum.
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by Hermit » Wed May 21, 2014 6:41 am

You too, huh? No Dunning-Kruger medal for you then, turncoat. :Erasb:
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by pErvinalia » Wed May 21, 2014 6:42 am

:lol:
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Re: DaveDodo007... I mean... Rationalskepticism,lol.

Post by JimC » Wed May 21, 2014 7:21 am

Next we discuss how spacecraft with light sails can exceed the speed of light...
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