Hermit wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:I don't think anyone needs any rigorous statistical evidence to demonstrate that those people exist on RatSkep (and the internet in general, really).
Frequently it's very difficult to even establish clear, empirical criteria to prove that a particular individual is of the deluded Dunning-Kruger type.
Indeed, I think it's quite hard to accurately determine D-K in everyday discussions but generally if someone is making strong claims about an academic topic without demonstrating a grasp of the basics of the field (e.g. arguing that ADHD isn't real because most people meet one or two of the criteria of the condition) then in my opinion it can safely be assumed.
Hermit wrote:There are situations where rigorous statistical evidence for the existence of Dunning-Kruger types can be clearly and incontrovertibly demonstrated. Look at the "faster than wind" discussion. I admit that I have decided to not waste further time on the topic after a few pages, but it would not surprise me that if someone with the requisite knowledge of physics and concurrent mathematical competence has come up with a few brief and elegant lines of equations that unequivocally prove the faster than wind concept to be as harebrained as every other perpetuum mobile type proposal. Anyone stubbornly persisting in arguing in favour of it with the certainty of a fool would incriminate himself as the D-G type.
I didn't really follow the discussion on that but have you phrased it correctly there? It was my understanding that the concept has been proven true so the D-K effect would only apply to those arguing against it (if anyone at all). Or have I misunderstood what you've written there?
Hermit wrote:ETA: As for ADHD, I don't need rigorous statistical evidence to demonstrate that it exists. My personal and anecdotal experience on hand of my grandson is enough. I have repeatedly observed the difference between his behaviour when the drug worked and when its effect has worn off eight hours later. Ritalin and its equivalent, non-branded products work. If drugging is the best method is another matter, though. Two of my sisters have been teachers for several decades. One of them once remarked on the gobsmacking difference in behaviour of students in her school when the soft-drink vending machines were removed and the offerings at the tuckshop were changed. Maybe a change in diet is both cheaper and more effective.
As I think I explained in some detail over at RatSkep, there is absolutely nothing controversial or pseudoscientific about questioning whether medication is the best treatment option or suggesting it is overdiagnosed in some situations or places. The problem is when people make strong claims like "ADHD does not exist", or "ADHD medication is just a tool to control the masses", or "ADHD diagnosis is subjective and completely different from medical diagnoses", etc, they are simply talking out of their asses. The sad part is that they don't realise how stupid they sound because they lack the knowledge to accurately assess how little they know. It's like creationists who ask how we could have evolved from monkeys if monkeys still exist, and sit back smugly like they've presented a water-proof case. In reality, the statement is barely coherent, yet alone correct.
With the specific issue you raise, the data overwhelmingly tells us that medication is the best treatment option for ADHD. Nobody would argue against the fact that we need to assess the use of the drugs for each individual case, weigh up the pros over potential side effects, control dosage levels, and so on, but overall if we're going to have a debate about ADHD, the evidence tells us that the controversy is over the fact that children are currently
undertreated and potentially underdiagnosed (especially with girls). Trying to frame the discussion as a concern about
overdiagnosis is like discussing vaccination and focusing the discussion on whether too many kids are being vaccinated each year.
There is currently some weak evidence that managing a child's diet could improve their symptoms and so it might be reasonable to propose it as a possible future treatment or a concurrent treatment, and it would only be pseudoscientific or ridiculous if it was proposed (currently) as a valid alternative to medication given that it has nowhere near the same amount of evidence behind it.
“The real question is not whether machines think but whether men do. The mystery which surrounds a thinking machine already surrounds a thinking man.” - B. F. Skinner.