LaMont Cranston wrote:In my experience, some people are much more intentional and deliberate than others, and those people, very likely, experience many fewer unintended consequences than those people who perceive the world as being in a state of chaos.
I'm not interested in your personal experience. Anecdotes are only a means of personalising an argument in the first person. I'm interested in any evidence you can cite that people who exercise their "intentionality" experience fewer incidences of unintended consequences. This is not to say that people cannot formulate a business plan and try to execute it. I don't think such studies of "intentionality" have been done scientifically, and anecdotal reports don't carry much weight with me. People do well with short term plans that include attainable goals.
LaMont Cranston wrote: There's another very time-honored concept called "self-fulfilling prophecy" that goes back to the Greeks. The way it works is that people hope or expect that something will happen, and they do what it takes to make it so. People sometime "forget" that the fact they expected something to happen and did what it took to make it happen were part of the process.
We hear much lately of confirmation bias. We hear very little of people's unfulfilled expectations when they have anything to do with woo. Self-fulfilling prophecy is folk wisdom, and again, it is anecdotal in nature. When you do what it takes to make something happen, the actions are invariably empirical, or else they don't get much credence. Except in folk wisdom, but that makes it kind of a recursion on the
a posteriori.
LaMont Cranston wrote:When is comes to so-called unintended consequences, does that law apply equally to everybody?
The law of unintended consequences is completely de-personalised. It's sort of like the opposite of karma.
LaMont Cranston wrote:Simply because we say that something was unintended, does that make it so?
Tell her lies, but feed her candy.
LaMont Cranston wrote:It could be that there are other options available in life than contrarianism and cronyism that could achieve rationality...or at least more things in that direction.
It could be that Bigfoot is tramping around in the north woods.
LaMont Cranston wrote:Scientists and others who consider themselves to be rational thinkers often find themselves considering things that might be unknowable, but the only way that anybody can know they are unknowable is to consider them as best they can.
It's unknowable whether this or that is unknowable. It could be that Bigfoot is tramping around in the north woods.
LaMont Cranston wrote:Will be actually ever know anything for certain that proves anything about, say, string theory and the existence of other dimensions? Does that mean that some of the best minds on the planet should not consider it?
In the end, whatever they do, they will only be able to cite their results. Remember what Yoda said: "There is no try."
LaMont Cranston wrote:Surendra, For a guy who claims he doesn't make all that many assumptions, you seem to make a lot of them about "the law of unintended consequences" and lots of other things.
Okay, if you can point out the assumptions I've made. The law of unintended consequences is mainly about chaos theory. Otherwise, you have just personalised the argument in the second person. That's all I'll say about it.