Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

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Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by juju2112 » Wed May 18, 2011 12:48 pm

So, I've been reviewing sermons from churches in my area for my blog recently. Here's one of the more fun arguments I've come across:
“There’s even been studies that have been done. April 2002, University of Oxford, Professor of Philosophy Richard Swineburn, actually launched into a study trying to determine the probability of the resurrection of Christ. [...] He used the Bayes theory of probability. Anyone ever heard of that? He used the Bayes theory, I assume it’s something significant, and he teaches at Yale University! And it’s picked up by the New York Times, and it’s published there. And he is out to prove or disprove the probability of the resurrection.”

“And he goes on to say this. This is one of the statements that he makes: “For someone dead for 36 hours to come back to life again is extremely improbable.” And I would agree with that. I haven’t seen it done yet. “But if there is a God of the traditional kind, natural laws only operate because he makes them.” Makes sense! If God was to overcome the natural laws, then he could overcome the natural laws. Because he made them!”
The logic goes like this:
  • The probably of God’s existence is one in two (since God either exists or doesn’t exist).
  • The probability that God became incarnate is also one in two (since it either happened or it didn’t).
  • The evidence for God’s existence is an argument for the resurrection.
  • The chance of Christ’s resurrection not being reported by the gospels has a probability of one in 10.
  • Considering all these factors together, there is a one in 1,000 chance that the resurrection is not true.
More in my write-up here:
http://donaldmorton.wordpress.com/2011/ ... urrection/

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Azathoth » Wed May 18, 2011 12:55 pm

:fp2:
Outside the ordered universe is that amorphous blight of nethermost confusion which blasphemes and bubbles at the center of all infinity—the boundless daemon sultan Azathoth, whose name no lips dare speak aloud, and who gnaws hungrily in inconceivable, unlighted chambers beyond time and space amidst the muffled, maddening beating of vile drums and the thin monotonous whine of accursed flutes.

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Animavore » Wed May 18, 2011 1:00 pm

:fp2:
Libertarianism: The belief that out of all the terrible things governments can do, helping people is the absolute worst.

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Wed May 18, 2011 1:02 pm

"The probably of God’s existence is one in two (since God either exists or doesn’t exist)."

:funny: :funny: :funny: :funny: :funny:
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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by charlou » Wed May 18, 2011 1:04 pm

juju of the 'teh great juju in teh sky' fame, juju?
no fences

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Azathoth » Wed May 18, 2011 1:05 pm

Someone is after a templeton prize methinks
Outside the ordered universe is that amorphous blight of nethermost confusion which blasphemes and bubbles at the center of all infinity—the boundless daemon sultan Azathoth, whose name no lips dare speak aloud, and who gnaws hungrily in inconceivable, unlighted chambers beyond time and space amidst the muffled, maddening beating of vile drums and the thin monotonous whine of accursed flutes.

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Wed May 18, 2011 1:07 pm

If the probability of "god" existing is "one in two", then the probability of ANY god existing is one in two. Therefore the probability of EVERY god existing is one in two. So what's so special about YOUR god?
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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Rum » Wed May 18, 2011 1:08 pm

Well it seems I have been wrong all these years after all.. :shifty:

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by charlou » Wed May 18, 2011 1:09 pm

Stop kidding us now, juju ... you're mandy in disguise .. *fries bacon*



sing along now ... Mandy in disguise with bacon ...
no fences

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by juju2112 » Wed May 18, 2011 1:12 pm

charlou wrote:juju of the 'teh great juju in teh sky' fame, juju?
It's a nickname from when I used to be heavily into witchcraft.

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by juju2112 » Wed May 18, 2011 1:13 pm

charlou wrote:Stop kidding us now, juju ... you're mandy in disguise .. *fries bacon*



sing along now ... Mandy in disguise with bacon ...
Nope... This is my first time here!

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Animavore » Wed May 18, 2011 1:15 pm

What brung you here?
Libertarianism: The belief that out of all the terrible things governments can do, helping people is the absolute worst.

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Feck » Wed May 18, 2011 1:17 pm

I had a look at your Blog , You look very much like Pappa :shock:
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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Animavore » Wed May 18, 2011 1:21 pm

linkage
Libertarianism: The belief that out of all the terrible things governments can do, helping people is the absolute worst.

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Re: Bayes’ Theorum Proves Jesus’ Resurrection!

Post by Thinking Aloud » Wed May 18, 2011 1:25 pm

Animavore wrote:linkage
Scroll upwards - engage ocular organs - click link in OP.

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