But what if you're wrong...?

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by DuckPhup » Sun Mar 28, 2010 3:43 pm

tattuchu wrote:
Bolero wrote:...and I'm right? Hubby and I finished a recent argument about religion with him plaintively saying this (possibly as a segue into the subsequent "I love you and I don't want you to burn in hell for all eternity" makeout session).

Of course, I responded by pointing out that a "just in case" bet doesn't make up for a lack of evidence, and that belief can't be forced, but I was wondering ... I mean, have you ever had to respond to this? What did you say? Or what have you heard others say?
So what does he want you to do? Go through the motions? Pretend to believe? Does he not think his omniscient god could see right through that?
Right... Bolero should tell her husband that 'belief' (the ILLUSION of knowledge) is not a matter of 'choice', in this context... it is a mental state which depends entirely upon having been 'convinced'. If one does not find the reasons presented in support of the proposition to be convincing, then a mental state of 'belief' is quite impossible. The best that one can do if not convinced is to fake 'belief'. So, Bolero should tell her hubby that if what he believes actually does turn out to be 'true', and if she does fake 'belief' in self-defense against being nagged and pestered to death, then he (hubby) will be instrumental in sending her straight to hell.
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Deep Sea Isopod » Sun Mar 28, 2010 6:37 pm

Bolero.
Your hubby loves you and doesn't want you to go to hell, so he will do anything within his power to prevent this from happening. Yes?
When someone loves you, they WILL do what ever they can to help.
If god was real: He loves you and doesn't want you to go to hell, so he would do anything within his power to prevent this from happening, would he not?
Now, your hubby may not be able to prove the existance of god, but surely it's not beyong gods power to give you the evidence you require?
So why does he not do this?

1) He doesn't really love you
or
2) He doesn't exist
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Lion IRC » Sun Mar 28, 2010 11:47 pm

Xamonas Chegwé wrote:
Lion IRC wrote:I'm not a fan of Pascal's Wager for a couple of reasons but it does come with a side order of better health / longevity.
Natural selection?

Also, Xamonas Chegwé, you are assuming that the merciful deity punishes people who merely got the name wrong and who had the intention of honoring God to the best of their understanding or their parents understanding etc, etc.

I have a lot of time for agnostics and people of little or no faith and I enjoy debating theology with other religionists.

But anti-theists really get my attention because so many of them rather arrogantly demand proof that their existence is not the consequence of a Higher Being's will and who (by theological reckoning) is NOT actually obliged to do anything.

I sat down once and spent 3 hours trying to explain to a cockroach who I was and how powerful I was and how much I knew about the other side of this planet called earth because I've seen it and how there is so much more to the universe than cockroaches can possibly imagine.

You know what?

That cockroach acted as though I wasn't even there. Maybe it was a pantheist or deist cockroach. Maybe it didn't "detect" me clearly enough.

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This is not an answer to my post. I honestly can't even follow it. It lacks coherence and any kind of logical narrative, :dono:

Perhaps it made sense when you originally posted it over at RS. I would like to see if that is the case. Rachel, can you give me a link, please?
Hi Xamonas Chegwé

Just so we are clear, my response to your “what if you're wrong and the muslims / Sikhs / scientologists / hindus are right” was about a divine being - Jake perhaps? - rewarding people who (at least) intended to worship a manifestation of Jake but innocently got the name and details wrong. Of all the people living in “Jakes shack”, the ones he would be most displeased with are those who go about saying there are NO manifestations of Jake. Pascals Wager does NOT originate from any single branch of theism – all of which can regarded as being at least partly true. Instead Pascals Wager is directed solely at atheists. So in my opinion you are giving bad advice to Bolero to equate atheists with muslims / Sikhs / scientologists / hindus and obfuscate the argument. If Bolero took your advice she would be challenged in this way very quickly.

I use the cockroach analogy often. I have mentioned Pascals Wager elsewhere too. Hope that’s not a problem.

I’m not sure how it helps rachelsinatra to accuse guests of “pretending to offer an opinion” (disingenuous / troll / intellectual dishonesty /derail attempt / you’re stupid nah nah nah / etc). Isn’t it easier to simply say, I disagree with you because………… --->insert, you know, like, an ACTUAL argument here<---

But I take my hat off to rachelsinatra for that photographic memory of peoples’ posts. I wonder about people who commit every post on rationalskepticism to memory and only wish it was all about me and my posts being the center of attention but I suspect other theists get similar attention.

Since you yourself admit to having difficulty following my cockroach post, here is how to join the dots.

1. Bolero asks everyone (not just people who dislike cockroach analogies) for comments on Pascals Wager.
2. Pascal’s Wager is directed at people who won’t accept God/afterlife/soul without proof of a very, very, very specific kind.
3. The cockroach analogy is apropos because a) they cannot make demands for proof on a higher being, b) they might not understand the proof anyway, c) they have nothing to lose in the wager.
4. Accepting Pascals Wager is a valid choice for people who might think their “God antenna” is broken and want to try theism (and it’s health benefits) just once before they die.

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Mon Mar 29, 2010 12:03 am

Pascal is for idiots. Spend your life following WHICH set of rules, please?
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by virphen » Mon Mar 29, 2010 12:06 am

That attempted rationalisation makes no sense.

According to Christian dogma the unforgivable sin is not accepting Mr Of Nazareth as your saviour. So someone accepting pascal's wager but choosing any other religion is just as fucked as any atheist.

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by rachelbean » Mon Mar 29, 2010 1:22 am

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Feck » Mon Mar 29, 2010 1:53 am

OK go on tell us about this ...

"Accepting Pascals Wager is a valid choice for people who might think their “God antenna” is broken and want to try theism (and it’s health benefits) just once before they die."



So now we have a nice variation on the wager .. theists live longer ? totally sure of that ?
Even if that's true how do you balance that with the Biblical teaching about not worrying about your longevity or quality of life? where is the love of god If you pay lips service in an attempt to stay away from him ?


And as god is in charge of everything don't you think that's fucking mean ... Man your god kicks with both feet !
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Hermit » Mon Mar 29, 2010 2:28 am

Lion IRC wrote:Just so we are clear, my response to your “what if you're wrong and the muslims / Sikhs / scientologists / hindus are right” was about a divine being - Jake perhaps? - rewarding people who (at least) intended to worship a manifestation of Jake but innocently got the name and details wrong. Of all the people living in “Jakes shack”, the ones he would be most displeased with are those who go about saying there are NO manifestations of Jake. Pascals Wager does NOT originate from any single branch of theism – all of which can regarded as being at least partly true. Instead Pascals Wager is directed solely at atheists.
Who are you trying to kid with this sophistry? For the sake of the discussion, let us assume there is one god. One theist believes that this god commands him to love thy neighbour as thou wouldst love thyself and lives accordingly. Another believes that god commands him to murder abortionists in order to save the lives of many foetuses. Yet another believes that this god commands him to kill as many infidels as possible, and dies by flying an aeroplane into a skyscraper. Are you seriously suggesting that - if there is a god, and regardless of what brand of god he turns out to be - he will allow that all three win that wager?
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Onomotopeia » Mon Mar 29, 2010 2:48 am

Lion IRC wrote:Just so we are clear, my response to your “what if you're wrong and the muslims / Sikhs / scientologists / hindus are right” was about a divine being - Jake perhaps? - rewarding people who (at least) intended to worship a manifestation of Jake but innocently got the name and details wrong. Of all the people living in “Jakes shack”, the ones he would be most displeased with are those who go about saying there are NO manifestations of Jake. Pascals Wager does NOT originate from any single branch of theism – all of which can regarded as being at least partly true. Instead Pascals Wager is directed solely at atheists. So in my opinion you are giving bad advice to Bolero to equate atheists with muslims / Sikhs / scientologists / hindus and obfuscate the argument. If Bolero took your advice she would be challenged in this way very quickly.
She would not be challenged this way at all by a Christian, and you know it. The Christian faith says that Jesus is the only way to heaven. The man himself was quoted saying it in the Gospels. Muslims, Jews, non-theists, Buddhists and Hindus are going to hell. You have to invent a different religion (certainly not one with any popular following behind it) to get around the problem.

But since we're changing up what gods think willy-nilly, you have yet to respond to Carrier's Wager posted in this thread:

1. God is testing us for fitness in the after-life, and will only accept people into heaven who honestly follow the evidence where it leads (non-theism) rather than bending to peer pressure.
2. If God doesn't exist, you don't lose anything either way.
3. If God exists, and you are a theist, you are consigned to oblivion.
4. If God exists, and you are a non-theist, you get eternal bliss!

The answer is pretty clear: disbelieve in God, and you have nothing to lose. Believe in any god at all, and you risk losing everything.

This argument is aimed at theists who might be interested in trying non-theism (and the benefits of self-honesty and a chance to fix their broken theistic moral compass).

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Feck » Mon Mar 29, 2010 2:51 am

:coffeespray:
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Rob » Mon Mar 29, 2010 3:06 am

Along with everyone else I will add my bit.

Who are you kidding, Lion? That isn't what you believe one bit. You believe that if you don't believe in the scapegoating of Jesus the Christ then you will not be saved. As a Christian that is something you must believe in. You believe that other people will not reach the kingdom of heaven. Pascal's wager is pointless anyhow. You are suggesting that people should believe in something just in case as it is said "to be on the safe side". This sort of religious bartering is insulting to be succinct about the whole matter.

Who among us believes something, not becuase it is shown to be true, but becuase it would be good if it were true?
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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Lion IRC » Mon Mar 29, 2010 4:43 am

Onomotopeia wrote:you have yet to respond to Carrier's Wager posted in this thread:
Hi Onomotopeia,

You're right I havent responded. I didnt even think about responding. Sorry.
But if you think it will help me I shall give it a go.

1. God is testing us for fitness in the after-life, and will only accept people into heaven who honestly follow the evidence where it leads (non-theism) rather than bending to peer pressure.
The God who doesnt exist is doing what?

2. If God doesn't exist, you don't lose anything either way.
Good old fashioned plagiarism. See Pascals Wager.

3. If God exists, and you are a theist, you are consigned to oblivion.
Did I misread the challenge? There is a God. I act accordingly. How is that dishonest?

4. If God exists, and you are a non-theist, you get eternal bliss!
Oh this just keeps on getting weirder and weirder. The God who, at point number 1 values honesty and truth and evidence-based actions, rewards the non-theist for what - asserting that there is no evidence of God at all? These people "who honestly follow the evidence where it leads" yet say there is NO evidence arent going anywhere fast.
St Peter is saying to them..."Heaven is just beyond those Pearly Gates" and they are saying "we don't believe you". It's a paradoxical double snake-bite. You only get into heaven if you refuse to accept "anecdotal evidence" and you can't enter heaven because you won't take someone elses word for it. God's Word.


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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Lion IRC » Mon Mar 29, 2010 4:55 am

Seraph wrote: ...For the sake of the discussion, let us assume there is one god...
Let's also assume that some people hijack religion (and science) for political reasons and some religionists (and scientists) actually are psychopaths and some misinterpret scripture or actually ARE told by God to do something incomprehensible to the rest of us.

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by piscator » Mon Mar 29, 2010 5:08 am

you are deliberately missing the point of Ono's question, Aslan IRC

you have an opportunity here to actually engender some respect by taking the bull by the horns and giving the question a good working over

i think you can do better than wilting and offering evasive Wormtonguery

take your time, think about it, give it a good cut and show some mettle

what do you have to lose?

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Re: But what if you're wrong...?

Post by Hermit » Mon Mar 29, 2010 5:30 am

Lion IRC wrote:
Seraph wrote: ...For the sake of the discussion, let us assume there is one god...
Let's also assume that some people hijack religion (and science) for political reasons and some religionists (and scientists) actually are psychopaths and some misinterpret scripture or actually ARE told by God to do something incomprehensible to the rest of us.
Meaning what? That if there is one god all three adherents I mentioned will go to heaven - no matter what they have done - because they believe there is one?

OK then. I believe in one omniscient, omnipotent god who commands me to do whatever I feel like doing, including the killing of everyone I possibly can who disagrees with what I say he is. Hooray! I am going to heaven. :woot:


I really can't see how Pascal's Wager makes sense if the only requisite for possibly winning is a belief in any god thingy whatsoever.
I am, somehow, less interested in the weight and convolutions of Einstein’s brain than in the near certainty that people of equal talent have lived and died in cotton fields and sweatshops. - Stephen J. Gould

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