All Things Trump

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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Forty Two » Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:02 pm

Tero wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 1:40 pm
You are only unemployed if you register as unemployed.
That's just false.
Some people think that to get these figures on unemployment the Government uses the number of persons filing claims for unemployment insurance (UI) benefits under State or Federal Government programs. But some people are still jobless when their benefits run out, and many more are not eligible at all or delay or never apply for benefits. So, quite clearly, UI information cannot be used as a source for complete information on the number of unemployed.
https://www.bls.gov/cps/uiclaims.htm
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Scot Dutchy » Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:31 pm

The US is a mess. Stop cherry picking. You dont have data so you cant compare. It is all guestimations. Your inequality is worse than Mexico. You dont have universal health care. Those who can afford it have some form of insurance but 30% dont. You dont have social services. You have prisons which take care of your social problems where you lock up over 1% of your population(which is another guestimate as it could be many more) . You have an infrastructure that is falling down (built any highspeed trains recently). You have a gun problem that is completely out of control. You have massive environmental problems.
You keep on comparing the poor in the USA with third world countries when a) you dont have clue how many poor there are and b) what their income is. As pErv said you have to register as unemployed but that is true of every aspect of American life; you just dont know.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Scot Dutchy » Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:33 pm

UI information cannot be used as a source for complete information on the number of unemployed.
FFS shooting yourself in the foot as well.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Scot Dutchy » Tue Jun 05, 2018 3:01 pm

Can Trump pardon himself:

Can Trump actually pardon himself? Experts weigh in
We asked legal scholars, former justice department officials and others whether a president may self-pardon
This lump of orange shit would do it.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Forty Two » Tue Jun 05, 2018 4:18 pm

Scot Dutchy wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:31 pm
The US is a mess. Stop cherry picking. You dont have data so you cant compare. It is all guestimations. Your inequality is worse than Mexico. You dont have universal health care. Those who can afford it have some form of insurance but 30% dont. You dont have social services. You have prisons which take care of your social problems where you lock up over 1% of your population(which is another guestimate as it could be many more) . You have an infrastructure that is falling down (built any highspeed trains recently). You have a gun problem that is completely out of control. You have massive environmental problems.
You keep on comparing the poor in the USA with third world countries when a) you dont have clue how many poor there are and b) what their income is. As pErv said you have to register as unemployed but that is true of every aspect of American life; you just dont know.
I'm not cherrypicking. Please, as with the court case issue, tell me what I'm leaving out. Cherrypicking is when I choose favorable information to the exclusion of other available information. I haven't done that at all here. I've merely correctly shown that there is good data on unemployment and other matters in the US, and that the registering for unemployment benefits is not how the BLS calculates unemployment. That's true. That's not cherrypicking. Tero was wrong. You are wrong.

It's not just guesstimates. I've already shown that. The US has data of the same quality and character as Europe. There is nothing more "guesstimate" about it than in Europe. You are ignorant of the data that is out there. You've been shown it via links, but you still make the false claim that the US has no data.

Whoever referenced registering for unemployment is wrong - that's not how the unemployment numbers are calculated. I proved that point. You're wrong. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that you are dead wrong.

And, I don't just compare the US to third world countries. The poor in the US live better than the poor in most of Europe. You don't like to include places like Portugal, Spain, Italy, the Balkans, eastern Europe, as part of Europe, but it is. You like to think that the "Europe" and "the World" is 7 or 8 tiny, sheltered western European countries are the benchmark that the rest of the world needs to emulate. Your myopia is obvious, Dutchy.

Massive environmental problems? That's absurd. The US is among the cleanest countries in the world. Our air and water are cleaner than it was 40 years ago, and we're reducing carbon emissions at a rate equal to Europe as a whole. You simply don't know what the US is like.

No, we haven't built high speed rails much recently, because that's not the future. I mean, California is building one, but like all high speed rail systems, they're not self-sufficient, and they have to be funded by loads of taxpayer money. The US doesn't need them. The future is self-driving vehicles on the already excellent highway systems. You can keep your trains.

The gun and prison issues are fair points. We, as with every other country in the world, have problems to solve. I certainly haven't and never would argue that we don't have problems. You, on the other hand, have this supremacist view of your country, and you ignore the defects, pretend they don't exist, and walk around thinking that the world would be just great if everyone did it the Dutch way.

We don't have social services? That's absurd. Federal and state welfare programs include cash assistance, healthcare and medical provisions, food assistance, housing subsidies, energy and utilities subsidies, education and childcare assistance, and subsidies and assistance for other basic services.
among affluent nations, the U.S. has the third highest level of per capita government social welfare spending. This is striking, given that government spending in the U.S. is more tightly targeted to benefit the poor and elderly.

When private-sector contributions to retirement, health care, and education are added to the count, social welfare spending in the U.S. dwarfs that of other nations. In fact, social welfare spending per capita in the U.S. rises to nearly twice the European average.
https://www.dailysignal.com/2015/09/19/ ... n-nations/
For those who believe the absolute size of the US welfare state is small, the data presented … [in the book] are shocking and constitute a wake up call. Once health and education benefits are counted, real per capita social welfare in the United States is larger than in almost all other countries!

Only one nation (Norway) spends more per person than the U.S. spends.
https://www.dailysignal.com/2015/09/19/ ... n-nations/
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Forty Two » Tue Jun 05, 2018 4:19 pm

Scot Dutchy wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 3:01 pm
Can Trump pardon himself:

Can Trump actually pardon himself? Experts weigh in
We asked legal scholars, former justice department officials and others whether a president may self-pardon
This lump of orange shit would do it.
He can, technically, but he can't protect himself from impeachment, so if he pardons himself, he's done.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar

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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Scot Dutchy » Tue Jun 05, 2018 5:31 pm

Will you stop throwing that shit against the wall. A FUCKING RIGHT WING SITE FFS.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Brian Peacock » Tue Jun 05, 2018 5:47 pm

The Guardian, right wing? :funny:
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by JimC » Tue Jun 05, 2018 8:46 pm

Forty Two wrote:

My point is to defend against the absurd notion that the US is equivalent to third world countries, where the poor die in the streets, where people are destitute and live worse than in Cuba or the Dominican Republic, with worse health care. Such arguments are political arguments directed for ideological purposes, and they do not accurately portray the US.
You are greatly exaggerating the argument people are making about the US - no one is directly comparing you with the extreme poverty of the 3rd world. It comes down to this; for such a wealthy, powerful country, you have a higher proportion of homeless and people living in poverty than many other western countries, with at the same time a disproportionally high number of extremely wealthy people. Many Americans would like to see these extremes reduced, at least to the relative proportions of developed western nations.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by Tero » Tue Jun 05, 2018 8:57 pm

News Max poll
They promise not to fudge it!
:funny:
Newsmax.com, America's leading independent news service, is conducting an urgent national online poll about President Donald Trump and his job performance as the nation’s chief executive.

The president’s job approval ratings are among the key indexes used to judge our nation’s leader.

Read Newsmax: Rate Trump Mobile
https://www.newsmax.com/m/surveys/RateT ... 0101sjjffo

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Re: All Things Trump

Post by pErvinalia » Tue Jun 05, 2018 11:33 pm

Forty Two wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 12:41 pm
What I've noticed is that some people rely on these statistics when a Democrat is in office, but when a Republican is in office, they are declared to be fabricated, and only accurate if doubled, at best.
Who's done that?
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by pErvinalia » Tue Jun 05, 2018 11:46 pm

Forty Two wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 1:58 pm
pErvinalia wrote:
Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:20 pm
Forty Two wrote:
Mon Jun 04, 2018 3:30 pm
Unemployment being low may be meaningless to you, but to most people it isn't.
That's because most people don't know what does and doesn't measure.
It doesn't matter what most people know.
You said "to most people it isn't [meaningless]".
It matters what it is, which is an economic indicator, and like inflation, interest rates, the Fortune 500 or the Dow, the GDP growth rate, GNP, tax receipts, real estate starts and new construction, business start-ups, manufacturing and industrial expansion rates, etc., all provide information on which to judge the state of the economy.
Sure, but what it claims to measure (unemployment) isn't very accurate. When most people, like you, express positivity when the unemployment rate drops by a few tenths of a percent (or even a full percent), they aren't considering what actually goes into making up that figure. When someone works one hour a week and officially becomes "employed", how accurate do you think that stat is as a measure of what is currently thought of as "unemployment"?
pErvinalia wrote:
Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:20 pm
As we near full employment, it pays massive dividends to the economy as a whole. To suggest that the unemployment rate is irrelevant is pig ignorance.
Enlighten me, what are some of the massive dividends full employment (and arbitrary number) pay to the economy?
Tax revenues for one. More income earners means more tax payers.
Less unemployment insurance payouts. More wage/income earners means fewer unemployment compensation claims, which benefits the public treasury.
Fewer welfare program claims. More wage/income earners means fewer claims against state welfare programs, which benefits the public treasury.
High unemployment costs the unemployed person and their family in terms of savings and investments, loss of assets, and loss of skills and training through long-term inactivity.
High unemployment reduces GDP.
High unemployment reduces consumer spending, which impacts the economy.
High unemployment causes a reduction in demand for consumer products.
High unemployment can cause social unrest
High unemployment reduces consumer and business confidence, which restrains economic activity.
You specifically referred to near "full employment", not a generalised reduction in unemployment. None of this is specific to the concept of full employment. Full employment is a largely arbitrary number.
pErvinalia wrote:
Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:20 pm
The US isn't really bad on wealth inequality. The big issue with the US is that most billionaires are from the US, so that skews the numbers up.
I really don't think you know how stats work. The large number of billionaires IS wealth inequality, not a qualifier. :fp: If you had, say one trillionaire, and not many billionaires, then that would be a skew on the numbers. But when you don't have many outliers, then that's not a skew.
The point is that (a) US stands below some European countries on wealth inequality, but generally, looking at the world, the US isn't too bad.

The US has 41% of the global personal wealth. The US is by far the richest country in the world, despite this figure having fallen for decades. Denmark and Switzerland both have higher wealth inequality GINI coefficients than the US.
None of that reasonably supports your claims that the "US isn't really bad on wealth inequality".
And, wealth inequality is certainly a relevant statistic, but it is not the only relevant statistic. Standard of living is important. And, if you have your trillionaires, but the middle and lower economic strata are still much higher than the rest of the world, then the inequality is not a particularly important issue. Inequality measures mean far more in a country like Brazil, where the poor represent about half the population, and where poor really means "fucking poor - tin roof, shack fucking poor."
pErvinalia wrote:
Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:20 pm
But as has been pointed out to you before, our middle class is way above the world average in wealth, and our poor are even (on average) far less poor than when compared to most other countries in the world.
And as has been pointed out to you before in response to this, this is a disingenuous stat as it doesn't account for cost of living (i.e. PPI dollars). Of course a poor person in the US would be not poor in India. They got their assets and income in US dollars, not Indian Rupees. And they are still poor in the US because they have to pay US prices for stuff, not Indian prices.
It's not about "not being poor in India." They're not poor here. It's why the US is such a popular destination here. The poor here don't live like the poor in India or Brazil and the like. They floor is much higher here. Worlds higher. That's why we are talking about walls and tightening immigration - the flood is into the US, not out of it.

Median income in the US is in the global 1% - https://www.thebalance.com/american-mid ... st-3973493

The American poor live better than most of humanity - https://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstal ... 94795d54ef

The information does not suggest that an American poor person would not be poor in India. The numbers show that the American poor don't, overall, live a life in the US that would be considered poor anywhere else. http://www.oregonlive.com/hovde/index.s ... ricas.html

Pew has additional data: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/20 ... dle-class/
But how does the well-being of the American family compare with the well-being of people in other countries?

The U.S. still fares very well on that score. On a global scale, the vast majority of Americans are either upper-middle income or high income. And many Americans who are classified as “poor” by the U.S. government would be middle income globally, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis.
Image
The analysis includes 111 countries, which account for 88% of the global population. We divided people into five income groups: People who are poor (living on $2 or less daily), low income ($2.01-10), middle income ($10.01-20), upper-middle income ($20.01-50) and high income (more than $50). The global middle-income range translates to an annual income of $14,600 to $29,200 for a family of four.

The U.S. stands head and shoulders above the rest of the world. More than half (56%) of Americans were high income by the global standard, living on more than $50 per day in 2011, the latest year that could be analyzed with the available data. Another 32% were upper-middle income. In other words, almost nine-in-ten Americans had a standard of living that was above the global middle-income standard. Only 7% of people in the U.S. were middle income, 3% were low income and 2% were poor.

Compare that with the rest of the world, where 13% of people globally could be considered middle income in 2011. Most people in the world were either low income (56%) or poor (15%), and relatively few were upper-middle income (9%) or high income (7%).
This is not to say that the U.S., along with other advanced economies, does not struggle with issues of income inequality and poverty. But given the much higher standard of living in the U.S., what is considered poor here is a level of income still not available to most people globally.
This is not an attack on Europe or Australia/NZ. Western Europea, Canada, Oz/NZ are all very high up there, dominating the world. Australia does very well on standard of living and wealth inequality measures. There are issues for the US to solve, and work to be done. I'm not arguing otherwise. I'm not noting this as a competition or as some sort of jab at other countries. I want the poor of the world to be "not poor." I applaud western Europe, Oz, NZ, and Canada too. Good job. My point is to defend against the absurd notion that the US is equivalent to third world countries, where the poor die in the streets, where people are destitute and live worse than in Cuba or the Dominican Republic, with worse health care. Such arguments are political arguments directed for ideological purposes, and they do not accurately portray the US.
I've addressed this stuff on at least two other seperate occasions. I'm not going to keep doing it.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by pErvinalia » Tue Jun 05, 2018 11:53 pm

Scot Dutchy wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:31 pm
The US is a mess. Stop cherry picking. You dont have data so you cant compare. It is all guestimations.
Just repeating this shit over and over doesn't make it true. They have plenty of data and it's collection and collation methods are transparent. Just because you don't like the US (and everything else that isn't Dutch) doesn't mean that everything they do is fucked.
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by pErvinalia » Tue Jun 05, 2018 11:54 pm

Scot Dutchy wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:33 pm
UI information cannot be used as a source for complete information on the number of unemployed.
FFS shooting yourself in the foot as well.
Yeah, he has an uncanny knack of providing links that undermine his point.. :hehe:
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Re: All Things Trump

Post by pErvinalia » Tue Jun 05, 2018 11:57 pm

Brian Peacock wrote:
Tue Jun 05, 2018 5:47 pm
The Guardian, right wing? :funny:
He's talking about the dailysignal, I assume.
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